TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2480…4bc0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Valorant, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+263.6%+$800.37
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+158.6%+$194.04
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$100.73
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$83.63
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.02
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.25
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$489.68
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+217.6%+$652.89
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.57
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.25
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$60.78
France to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.59
Argentina leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.55
Argentina to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.12
Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.12
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$75.59
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Under 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$22.4
Grigor Dimitrov vs. Arthur Fery: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Under 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Bublik: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Under 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$25.07
Madison Keys vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$23.33
Jasmine Paolini vs. Alexandra Eala: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$82.22
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Wimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+302%+$90.6
Lorenzo Sonego vs. Tomas Etcheverry: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Under 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$30.63
Wimbledon ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Alexander Bublikbacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.85
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+92.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+99.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.