Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe58a88cc98a03c0cf4e001070964770095de48bfea31db66ede2d9cc176668ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 49c | 14,996$7,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,359.74 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 13,148$6,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,320.4 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 54c | 6,518$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.26 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 53c | 4,840$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.88 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 47c | 4,416$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.72 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 54c | 2,688$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.42 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 41c | 2,673$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.08 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 40c | 1,761$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.21 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 52c | 1,624$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.68 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bb…c8a3backed No | 48c | 1,392$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…57ecbacked Yes | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 61c | 1,140$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.89 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 51c | 1,047$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.49 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…5dcebacked No | 47c | 1,041$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.07 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked No | 48c | 1,030$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.7 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 59c | 927.51$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.1 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 53c | 746.24$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.19 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 53c | 697.15$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.49 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8f…6e47backed Yes | 46c | 651.68$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.34 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099e…b3c1backed Yes | 46c | 647.96$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.73 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 55c | 629.51$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.88 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 24c | 620.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.75 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe050…ed54backed Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5797…8636backed Yes | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…f1b2backed Yes | 53c | 468$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.96 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…c56dbacked Yes | 15c | 413$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.08 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed No | 68c | 393.16$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 37c | 295.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.3 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 45c | 277$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.65 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 45c | 276.88$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.73 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 45c | 276.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.52 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 300 | 32.3%97 W · 203 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 242.65$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb770…3f81backed Yes | 46c | 230$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc6…6163backed Yes | 53c | 221.3$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…c9a5backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…a067backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48c9…a894backed Yes | 52c | 210.85$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.85 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d83…dfd7backed Yes | 49c | 203.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…afddbacked Yes | 50c | 197.9$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.83 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…5289backed Yes | 47c | 196.49$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.14 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 22c | 193.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…8e1cbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 235 | 54.9%129 W · 106 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…4bc0backed No | 56c | 177$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7743…1baebacked Yes | 35c | 170.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.25 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…0cebbacked Yes | 54c | 169.42$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 12c | 158$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.1 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 33c | 149.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.41 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…ba99backed Yes | 28c | 125.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 49c | 124$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked No | 51c | 116.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0392…ab02backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…2896backed Yes | 53c | 105$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 182 | 31.9%58 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…2bfabacked Yes | 53c | 105$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…5b8bbacked Yes | 43c | 102.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf8…e08ebacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb282…cde9backed Yes | 52c | 101.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe250…ea7abacked Yes | 50c | 99.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 47c | 97.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…df9abacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f33…7af9backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 46c | 93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…d8d5backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…de6dbacked Yes | 16c | 88.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd7…aa43backed Yes | 54c | 85.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Yes | 31c | 84.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe814…f2bbbacked Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b9…6d9dbacked Yes | 39c | 73.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8e…22ebbacked Yes | 50c | 72.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e14…9056backed Yes | 43c | 69.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32d4…de86backed Yes | 50c | 64.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70bd…3ecfbacked Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 162 | 30.2%49 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd81…3874backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 121 | 27.3%33 W · 88 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35c…f2c1backed Yes | 49c | 61.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3f…16bfbacked Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb9…1735backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a6…03cabacked Yes | 47c | 50.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…c57fbacked Yes | 45c | 48.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…87babacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee1…656dbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…62d0backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…a409backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b5…ea26backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…23f8backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…d416backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddb…0c47backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa705…2e7dbacked Yes | 39c | 38.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 53c | 36.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 70c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…4e13backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina to win the second half?this page
- Argentina vs. Austria: Second half draw?No won
- Austria to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.