Fifa International · resolved market
France to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e8dbedf4aa5380edf1194ad4e615709355097e225a8a3cee8b4151b7fce9763
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 8,783$5,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,667.01 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 45c | 8,140$3,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,632.68 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 50c | 4,003$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.59 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fa…140bbacked Yes | 26c | 3,161$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.24 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…33e1backed No | 27c | 2,300$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.99 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +12.6wins | +0.25per pick | 14cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 59c | 1,974$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.59 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 48c | 1,761$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.03 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 41c | 1,599$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.61 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…72e7backed No | 50c | 1,550$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 44c | 1,228$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.18 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 66c | 1,220$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.37 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 28c | 1,049$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.27 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51a…7e42backed Yes | 63c | 936.17$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.38 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked No | 41c | 872.39$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.51 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 63c | 800$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.64 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Yes | 52c | 799.62$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.82 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 33c | 763.44$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.52 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed No | 42c | 749.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…5d6abacked Yes | 57c | 740.75$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.89 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 49c | 641.46$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.53 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 75c | 623.83$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.96 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x099e…b3c1backed Yes | 58c | 601.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.04 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 37c | 571.24$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.75 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 61c | 553$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.52 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 30c | 543$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.6 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 49c | 518.92$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.49 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…b4c3backed Yes | 62c | 506.15$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.55 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…c216backed Yes | 57c | 493.07$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.02 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 45c | 479.3$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.56 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 70c | 476$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.2 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 50c | 470$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 50c | 406.65$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.33 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 204 | 27.5%56 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 48c | 397.46$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.78 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 50c | 385$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.36 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…f437backed Yes | 59c | 381.15$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.27 | 115 | 25.2%29 W · 86 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 148 | 41.9%62 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 59c | 349.92$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.46 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c3…ebfabacked Yes | 57c | 265.13$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.01 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 29c | 260$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…d2aebacked No | 41c | 249.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 49c | 229.02$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.22 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 40c | 222$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ee…3b01backed Yes | 75c | 211.83$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 37c | 205$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 46c | 201.61$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.87 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd366…0184backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…5f06backed Yes | 54c | 183.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…8a2cbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…4f10backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8113…e019backed Yes | 59c | 168.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…c6a0backed Yes | 61c | 168.09$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.26 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…ae05backed Yes | 63c | 167.87$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.11 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 40c | 164.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 37c | 156.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…49f1backed Yes | 60c | 149.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked No | 25c | 146.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…7f29backed No | 37c | 146$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 157 | 45.9%72 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 75c | 132.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…cd14backed Yes | 75c | 131.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…ee54backed Yes | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 46c | 116.12$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed No | 52c | 107.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…ab39backed Yes | 75c | 106.47$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…4bc0backed No | 45c | 104$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf460…b2adbacked Yes | 57c | 103.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1e…7eb6backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 34c | 98.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…444abacked No | 51c | 97.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…3918backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2a…f043backed Yes | 59c | 84.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 75c | 77.95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…baaabacked Yes | 78c | 73.16$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…9d83backed Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…78a8backed Yes | 63c | 67.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Yes | 75c | 65.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c88…187bbacked Yes | 54c | 64.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d7…aad9backed Yes | 57c | 60.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…4c78backed Yes | 74c | 58.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…4aa9backed Yes | 59c | 54.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58cf…6b6fbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…f60bbacked Yes | 56c | 46.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…0088backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…a839backed Yes | 57c | 42.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…9e6fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 137 | 56.9%78 W · 59 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…be32backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…f7febacked Yes | 56c | 35.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fad…1a08backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…ff57backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 60c | 34.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…727ebacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe329…982ebacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc183…8686backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France to win the second half?this page
- Norway to win the second half?No won
- Norway vs. France: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.