Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. France: Second half draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2eaa9107bb986d98cfb31a80b41b8b51eb892c0a03bbc337a9b82d6283db5460
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 20c | 3,606$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.84 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 13c | 2,857$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.71 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 71c | 1,865$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.38 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…c81abacked Yes | 28c | 1,838$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.6 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked No | 18c | 1,230$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.68 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 56c | 1,063$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.74 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…7cabbacked Yes | 70c | 710.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Yes | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 95 | 2.1%2 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 72c | 571.26$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.29 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 14c | 493$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.95 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 27c | 466.4$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.93 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed No | 75c | 333.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 67c | 222$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 72c | 205$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 33c | 190.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked Yes | 25c | 159.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 72c | 156.81$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 72c | 151$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 32c | 139.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 17c | 121.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 77c | 96.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…52f6backed No | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 68c | 72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 65.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 34c | 57.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…abe6backed Yes | 35c | 41.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 69c | 36.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…fed5backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 135 | 26.7%36 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…ed9abacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7062…9f54backed No | 69c | 24.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 67c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. France: Second half draw?this page
- France to win the second half?Yes won
- Norway to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.