TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe99f…e595

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT4353.5%23 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+32%+$5.44
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.47
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$165.87
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$57.81
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.09
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$855.38
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$150.02
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.67
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.29
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.86
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.25
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.47
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.75
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$59.92
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.67
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.47
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.02
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$80.97
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$79.4
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.82
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$62.51
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$92.7
National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.13
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Lehecka (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.97
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$30.34
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paulbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$41.33
Wimbledon ATP: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$57.71
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Giles Husseybacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.3
Halle Open: Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.98
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.39
Halle Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.05
Halle Open: Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$732Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$289.69
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$932Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$247.66
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Nick Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$28.68
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$53.24
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$42.99
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.41
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.94
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.79
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$20.62
Roland Garros ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.32
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Nuno Borgesbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$42.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$30.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.