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Euroleague · resolved market

Panathinaikos vs. Real Madrid

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panathinaikosof Panathinaikos, Real Madrid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,599
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,829

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,599 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4962…5a8dbacked Panathinaikos50c5,678$2,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Real Madrid76c4,816$3,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,637.7613235.6%47 W · 85 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Panathinaikos22c3,226$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,513.6414542.1%61 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0e…8d72backed Real Madrid50c3,002$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Panathinaikos51c2,775$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.052544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Panathinaikos52c2,766$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.772263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+49.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4611…4cd2backed Real Madrid50c2,677$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Real Madrid46c2,198$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Real Madrid42c2,100$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.042133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Real Madrid48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Real Madrid50c1,997$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick55cpaid-73.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3b2…e009backed Real Madrid3c1,700$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+963.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Real Madrid76c1,300$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.999756.7%55 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Panathinaikos58c1,230$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.65046%23 W · 27 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-28.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Panathinaikos54c1,122$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.221050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Panathinaikos24c842$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.082450%12 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+41.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x586d…c5dcbacked Panathinaikos52c780.66$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.961250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Real Madrid45c730.05$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.521127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Panathinaikos55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.271040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Panathinaikos27c710.39$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.0854251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Panathinaikos53c599.97$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.998440.5%34 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Real Madrid70c595$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.087646.1%35 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Panathinaikos35c579.25$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.7214447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Panathinaikos50c496.79$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.7212040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc847…262fbacked Real Madrid10c484$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Panathinaikos25c462.7$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.4837052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Real Madrid48c453.8$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.821450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x279b…2365backed Panathinaikos24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+93.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x441d…7a4ebacked Real Madrid50c390.26$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1943636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Panathinaikos51c378$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9914847.3%70 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Panathinaikos25c372.29$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.667031.4%22 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Panathinaikos29c347.93$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.034634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Panathinaikos59c339.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.641776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Panathinaikos29c334.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.791526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Real Madrid41c327.28$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8236939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84e5…6d71backed Panathinaikos45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.01580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91b8…51cfbacked Real Madrid14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick13cpaid+429%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Panathinaikos51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.086949.3%34 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Panathinaikos51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Real Madrid48c188.95$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Real Madrid79c175.7$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5526544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Real Madrid75c173.86$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8910050%50 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Real Madrid48c168.42$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9427557.5%158 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Panathinaikos29c165.37$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2235234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Panathinaikos55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.511635.3%41 W · 75 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Real Madrid54c148.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+72.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Panathinaikos50c123.62$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.811650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada3…d0aebacked Panathinaikos50c123.08$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Panathinaikos44c119.02$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.742748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18b…51b9backed Real Madrid34c116.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Real Madrid44c113.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012041.7%50 W · 70 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Real Madrid48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Real Madrid43c102.61$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4628943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Panathinaikos58c100.57$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.247159.2%42 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Panathinaikos51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.55152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc78c…cf91backed Panathinaikos33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Real Madrid49c99.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.871631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Panathinaikos52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1510663.2%67 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Real Madrid66c94.14$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.752157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Real Madrid58c85.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8212268.9%84 W · 38 L+15.5wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+19.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Real Madrid52c84.09$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.062556%14 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Real Madrid49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.21030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Panathinaikos50c78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2631651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Panathinaikos53c76.07$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5231446.2%145 W · 169 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Panathinaikos23c63.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.684351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Real Madrid48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.54146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Real Madrid50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305630.4%17 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Panathinaikos24c56.25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.758037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b06…10a7backed Real Madrid48c55.77$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Real Madrid49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.527338.1%104 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Panathinaikos47c44.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5943543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Panathinaikos53c43.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.45949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Panathinaikos53c43.03$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.110945.9%50 W · 59 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Real Madrid47c42.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.928534.1%29 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85a4…7412backed Real Madrid50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5700…a854backed Real Madrid50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca53…195fbacked Panathinaikos52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.463246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29ab…b38dbacked Panathinaikos51c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2039…35d7backed Panathinaikos78c37.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Real Madrid49c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Panathinaikos54c33.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4910926.6%29 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e1b…c38fbacked Panathinaikos46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.611163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Real Madrid46c32.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe01f…17bdbacked Real Madrid50c31.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4486…43b7backed Panathinaikos51c29.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad4…e6a1backed Real Madrid50c29.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Real Madrid56c26.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.773966.7%26 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50a5…1ea9backed Real Madrid50c25.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce6…cc19backed Panathinaikos51c25.65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb58c…5fc5backed Real Madrid60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5e…cbfdbacked Real Madrid50c24.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed Panathinaikos51c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.274100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+90.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6b0…b4aabacked Panathinaikos51c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed Panathinaikos53c22.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Panathinaikos52c20.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.087247.2%34 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4695…c274backed Panathinaikos54c20.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Real Madrid76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.212454%67 W · 57 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88d0…524cbacked Panathinaikos51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9e…10bebacked Real Madrid50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.