Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe68678b9f4e8b96b24ac1f33b820dad5f444b29e447856c6f5bd80361a75fd74

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 11, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $227,276
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $221,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,276 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6818…bbc7backed No	20c	11,061$2,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,263.07	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7416…fef6backed Yes	77c	7,919$6,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,821.36	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	72cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed No	5c	6,622$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.9	128	40.6%52 W · 76 L	+13.8wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x71fd…0367backed No	17c	5,992$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.4	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe95e…61f2backed No	10c	5,542$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.41	150	41.3%62 W · 88 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc934…99e7backed No	9c	4,717$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.58	42	19%8 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa43f…fc07backed No	7c	4,311$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.28	57	12.3%7 W · 50 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed No	1c	3,850$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.7	166	2.4%4 W · 162 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…ffd4backed No	4c	3,591$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.64	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed No	2c	3,304$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.08	83	27.7%23 W · 60 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No	9c	3,022$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.89	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked No	11c	2,943$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.24	155	39.4%61 W · 94 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76c9…1917backed No	9c	2,763$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.13	53	30.2%16 W · 37 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked No	15c	2,678$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.07	141	41.8%59 W · 82 L	+8.8wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ac7…e0efbacked No	8c	2,539$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	6c	2,328$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.63	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbbe…c192backed No	7c	2,100$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.4	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	12c	2,068$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.62	357	12.9%46 W · 311 L	-29.9wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x41f1…3dccbacked No	9c	2,032$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.24	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	+3.9wins	+0.11per pick	25cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No	5c	1,950$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.05	328	3%10 W · 318 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No	8c	1,887$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.06	209	4.3%9 W · 200 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b0b…5e43backed No	2c	1,840$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.72	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c4…93a7backed No	5c	1,816$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.41	61	27.9%17 W · 44 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed No	1c	1,640$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.03	142	4.2%6 W · 136 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed No	6c	1,553$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.41	254	1.6%4 W · 250 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x172e…4f37backed No	16c	1,499$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.8	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7aec…ac7cbacked No	7c	1,472$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf629…bda0backed No	7c	1,464$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.48	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6cb…3f69backed No	7c	1,378$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	131	34.4%45 W · 86 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd47…919fbacked No	20c	1,367$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed No	7c	1,334$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.85	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked No	6c	1,322$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.71	75	4%3 W · 72 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ced…1f21backed No	14c	1,313$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b3f…f5eebacked No	6c	1,162$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.25	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa9…4baabacked No	9c	1,146$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.05	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca43…a229backed No	4c	1,052$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c17…d5a1backed Yes	79c	1,000$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+71.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa095…66bcbacked No	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+158.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed No	10c	999.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf625…9d5dbacked No	16c	963.56$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.42	52	19.2%10 W · 42 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e04…7a00backed No	13c	947.15$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.81	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.17per pick	23cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed No	6c	925$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.71	134	3.7%5 W · 129 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d1d…256abacked No	16c	700$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	56	14.3%8 W · 48 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5682…97afbacked No	6c	682.01$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.82	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8635…54efbacked No	15c	664.59$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	50cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No	11c	657.14$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.12	349	5.7%20 W · 329 L	-25.3wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6539…f6cdbacked No	6c	642.54$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.57	99	20.2%20 W · 79 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked No	7c	632.79$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.1	51	11.8%6 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	5cpaid	-20%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed No	4c	627.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	94	22.3%21 W · 73 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35f9…b6f4backed No	5c	597.99$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.61	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cd1…9249backed No	4c	553.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.57	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	19cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No	10c	520$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.98	171	2.9%5 W · 166 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed No	4c	500$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	233	3.4%8 W · 225 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e7…46e6backed No	14c	500$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.29	41	63.4%26 W · 15 L	+4.3wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4cf1…ee87backed No	3c	500$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+67.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked No	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	131	31.3%41 W · 90 L	+12.1wins	+0.09per pick	22cpaid	+164.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52bf…97a2backed No	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	53cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8f9…55f0backed No	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed No	8c	499.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	238	41.2%98 W · 140 L	+25.1wins	+0.11per pick	31cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x93b7…7d51backed No	9c	499.98$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.9	205	51.2%105 W · 100 L	+13.3wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe005…14fdbacked Yes	75c	497.72$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.43	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25f9…6b33backed No	4c	467.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9940…b140backed No	2c	451.07$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.27	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3910…7ba2backed No	25c	444$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…a99abacked No	14c	410.77$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.97	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No	8c	402.93$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.85	179	48%86 W · 93 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed No	12c	400.23$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.03	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	+4.3wins	+0.09per pick	30cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb3…14f5backed No	7c	400$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked No	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	244	2%5 W · 239 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9928…b214backed No	8c	399.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+1.9wins	+0.19per pick	11cpaid	+106.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed No	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	24cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0e8…904cbacked No	15c	367.89$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93f3…5d04backed No	11c	363.64$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+53.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x989c…69f4backed No	10c	346.62$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.69	75	46.7%35 W · 40 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9227…4df5backed No	15c	323.05$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	62	22.6%14 W · 48 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a58…4ababacked No	15c	314.76$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.97	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.15per pick	39cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked No	4c	310.56$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.89	87	33.3%29 W · 58 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac3f…2768backed No	8c	306.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.97	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc016…cf73backed No	9c	305.93$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.79	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbc…f820backed No	7c	305.16$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.98	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe258…be54backed No	9c	304.71$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.13	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x640f…bbd8backed No	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.82	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38d4…be0abacked No	10c	299.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11e9…4136backed No	6c	296.22$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	86	30.2%26 W · 60 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ad…990ebacked No	16c	295$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.2	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd588…cec0backed No	20c	292.6$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.52	85	21.2%18 W · 67 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f07…4518backed No	13c	283.69$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.88	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c25…8d52backed No	14c	281.32$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77e4…d18fbacked No	18c	277.02$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbfe…932ebacked No	10c	260.59$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.35	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+2.5wins	+0.13per pick	27cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ba3…61b7backed No	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58ff…7e02backed No	9c	211.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No	9c	207.3$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.15	130	54.6%71 W · 59 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9564…3a32backed No	8c	207.29$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.11	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefc3…081fbacked No	8c	200$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	+6.1wins	+0.17per pick	19cpaid	+72.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xacd8…1325backed No	11c	198.09$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.45	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1e…8d24backed Yes	79c	195.76$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ff7…d3c9backed No	15c	191.2$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.38	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d28…9b1cbacked No	11c	175$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.43	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3219…12dfbacked No	12c	173.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?this page
Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?No won
Ranger FDV above $30M one day after launch?No won
Ranger FDV above $40M one day after launch?No won
Ranger FDV above $50M one day after launch?No won
Ranger FDV above $60M one day after launch?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event