Tennis · resolved market
Hagen: Guy Den Ouden vs Alexandre Muller
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x147626e2b97c79e3cef532d87542e4b1635f4f3f57b66794a6c96a43323b3e7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guy Den Oudenof Guy Den Ouden, Alexandre Muller
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alexandre Muller | 31c | 12,578$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,961.84 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Guy Den Ouden | 54c | 10,000$5,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,623.24 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Alexandre Muller | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Guy Den Ouden | 49c | 2,864$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.56 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Guy Den Ouden | 51c | 2,598$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.96 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Alexandre Muller | 46c | 2,517$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.67 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…e3aebacked Guy Den Ouden | 47c | 2,432$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.11 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Alexandre Muller | 46c | 1,781$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.22 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Guy Den Ouden | 63c | 1,715$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.46 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guy Den Ouden | 74c | 1,484$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.13 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Guy Den Ouden | 75c | 1,479$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.72 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alexandre Muller | 8c | 1,283$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alexandre Muller | 44c | 1,268$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.03 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…2e6bbacked Alexandre Muller | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Alexandre Muller | 20c | 1,225$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.66 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Alexandre Muller | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e1…86b5backed Alexandre Muller | 9c | 999.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alexandre Muller | 48c | 769.82$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.55 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Alexandre Muller | 2c | 692.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alexandre Muller | 11c | 600.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alexandre Muller | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Alexandre Muller | 26c | 594.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.93 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68b…cfbabacked Alexandre Muller | 9c | 583.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Alexandre Muller | 17c | 579.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Guy Den Ouden | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Alexandre Muller | 46c | 508.17$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.76 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Alexandre Muller | 47c | 499.98$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Guy Den Ouden | 47c | 442.38$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.62 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Alexandre Muller | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Guy Den Ouden | 76c | 404.2$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.01 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Alexandre Muller | 47c | 402$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.09 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…5106backed Alexandre Muller | 3c | 399.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Guy Den Ouden | 75c | 390.76$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…8172backed Alexandre Muller | 24c | 390$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…692abacked Guy Den Ouden | 53c | 378.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.72 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa63b…b8cfbacked Guy Den Ouden | 53c | 378.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.64 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e5…e6adbacked Alexandre Muller | 10c | 374.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 103 | 10.7%11 W · 92 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Alexandre Muller | 14c | 364.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Guy Den Ouden | 76c | 331.12$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Alexandre Muller | 46c | 322$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.71 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guy Den Ouden | 74c | 319.99$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.94 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Alexandre Muller | 49c | 310$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.71 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Alexandre Muller | 11c | 303.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…3b5fbacked Guy Den Ouden | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Guy Den Ouden | 75c | 280.43$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Guy Den Ouden | 51c | 275.62$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.06 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Alexandre Muller | 32c | 267.46$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.59 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Alexandre Muller | 47c | 240$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Alexandre Muller | 56c | 212.25$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.92 | 271 | 39.1%106 W · 165 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b43…cd2abacked Alexandre Muller | 6c | 211.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Alexandre Muller | 46c | 203$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Guy Den Ouden | 51c | 202.91$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.66 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Guy Den Ouden | 77c | 199.2$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 248 | 58.5%145 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Guy Den Ouden | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Alexandre Muller | 25c | 154.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…3a00backed Alexandre Muller | 10c | 148.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Alexandre Muller | 49c | 144.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Guy Den Ouden | 79c | 137.73$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Alexandre Muller | 48c | 129.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Alexandre Muller | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Alexandre Muller | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Guy Den Ouden | 73c | 123$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Alexandre Muller | 54c | 118.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Alexandre Muller | 30c | 117.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Alexandre Muller | 48c | 111.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dc…589fbacked Guy Den Ouden | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Guy Den Ouden | 75c | 109.15$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe22…b709backed Guy Den Ouden | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Guy Den Ouden | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Alexandre Muller | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Alexandre Muller | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Guy Den Ouden | 76c | 99.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Alexandre Muller | 54c | 99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Guy Den Ouden | 68c | 98.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…96a8backed Guy Den Ouden | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Guy Den Ouden | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…1290backed Guy Den Ouden | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Guy Den Ouden | 75c | 80.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Alexandre Muller | 48c | 78.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Guy Den Ouden | 77c | 75.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Guy Den Ouden | 75c | 75.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 375 | 47.2%177 W · 198 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Alexandre Muller | 56c | 74.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Alexandre Muller | 51c | 70.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Guy Den Ouden | 52c | 67.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb032…fd99backed Guy Den Ouden | 56c | 64.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Guy Den Ouden | 77c | 63.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Guy Den Ouden | 76c | 63.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Alexandre Muller | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Guy Den Ouden | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Guy Den Ouden | 77c | 60.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Alexandre Muller | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Guy Den Ouden | 46c | 58.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Alexandre Muller | 45c | 58.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -11.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bed…c30bbacked Alexandre Muller | 28c | 57.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Guy Den Ouden | 73c | 57.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Alexandre Muller | 37c | 52.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Guy Den Ouden | 58c | 51.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Alexandre Muller | 55c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Guy Den Ouden | 52c | 50.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed Alexandre Muller | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hagen: Guy Den Ouden vs Alexandre Mullerthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Ouden vs MullerOuden won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.