Tennis · resolved market
Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x666026234f5566eaac78a7ca1694577e8f1f4ea061d0f870c59c36afece72401
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shintaro Mochizukiof Shintaro Mochizuki, Dane Sweeny
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $290,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $302,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 34c | 34,702$11,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,872.36 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dane Sweeny | 56c | 30,261$16,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,963.07 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Dane Sweeny | 39c | 25,411$10,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,035.55 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…2654backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 59c | 19,800$11,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,090.09 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 60c | 7,528$4,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,011.11 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 6,939$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,296.78 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Dane Sweeny | 68c | 6,900$4,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,692 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 48c | 6,215$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,254 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Dane Sweeny | 70c | 6,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Dane Sweeny | 6c | 4,777$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dane Sweeny | 52c | 4,700$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.9 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 4,232$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.85 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…f30ebacked Dane Sweeny | 72c | 3,856$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,776.31 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Dane Sweeny | 42c | 3,826$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.47 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa65…b0bbbacked Dane Sweeny | 43c | 3,721$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 59c | 3,400$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.99 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 31c | 2,868$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.75 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Dane Sweeny | 58c | 2,591$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.36 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Dane Sweeny | 63c | 2,554$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.52 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Dane Sweeny | 73c | 2,500$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 55c | 2,456$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.3 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 2,247$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.1 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Dane Sweeny | 67c | 2,120$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.49 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 58c | 1,750$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Dane Sweeny | 68c | 1,377$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.92 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 29c | 1,359$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.67 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf816…0433backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 30c | 1,297$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.18 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 48c | 1,278$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.49 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Dane Sweeny | 58c | 1,275$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.91 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Dane Sweeny | 59c | 1,246$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.94 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 55c | 1,233$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.06 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Dane Sweeny | 24c | 1,169$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 302 | 35.4%107 W · 195 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 27c | 1,125$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.1 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dane Sweeny | 59c | 1,124$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.63 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 1,106$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.01 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 1,085$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.23 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 34c | 1,000$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.51 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 124 | 44.4%55 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Dane Sweeny | 41c | 980$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.8 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 50c | 975.28$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.74 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Dane Sweeny | 41c | 914.03$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.75 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 70c | 901$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.8 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 60c | 878$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.2 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…d782backed Dane Sweeny | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +13.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Dane Sweeny | 16c | 839.98$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.19 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8d…9c0bbacked Dane Sweeny | 54c | 839.78$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.11 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 34c | 734.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.13 | 271 | 39.1%106 W · 165 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Dane Sweeny | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Dane Sweeny | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Dane Sweeny | 41c | 639.6$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.24 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 39c | 622.3$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.3 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 57c | 617.02$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.53 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 31c | 606.22$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.29 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…ae18backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 62c | 544.58$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.23 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…2e6bbacked Dane Sweeny | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 60c | 539$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.58 | 311 | 64.3%200 W · 111 L | +36.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 534.2$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.48 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…cc50backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 43c | 512.34$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.03 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…e21ebacked Dane Sweeny | 72c | 481.13$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.41 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 480$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 438$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.82 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 23c | 437.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 434$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.26 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Dane Sweeny | 39c | 429.85$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.64 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Dane Sweeny | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 427$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.88 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Dane Sweeny | 54c | 416.75$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.99 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 416$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 42c | 414.34$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.32 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 413$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.07 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 410$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.9 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…6fcfbacked Dane Sweeny | 70c | 409.33$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 406$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.34 | 329 | 52.3%172 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 397$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.83 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 26c | 396$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.06 | 280 | 55.4%155 W · 125 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Dane Sweeny | 39c | 394.08$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.69 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 394$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.66 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dane Sweeny | 13c | 390$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 385$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.15 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 60c | 384.3$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.72 | 461 | 55.3%255 W · 206 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 380$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 375$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 373$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.47 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 60c | 371$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Dane Sweeny | 70c | 368.57$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 366$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.74 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 365.06$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.37 | 365 | 57.3%209 W · 156 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 362$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Dane Sweeny | 80c | 361.79$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.43 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 59c | 356$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.19 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe22…b709backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 57c | 349.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.53 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Dane Sweeny | 40c | 343.76$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.56 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 48c | 333.22$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.71 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Dane Sweeny | 59c | 303$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.77 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dane Sweeny | 59c | 282.68$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.62 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 39c | 276.78$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.82 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweenythis page
- Set 2 Winner: Mochizuki vs SweenyMochizuki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.