CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Acend vs 6666 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf79a5f80c7dfcb0f95690e7be9eff7c8be69a822c1f16998dea195a90748eaf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acendof Acend, 6666
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked 6666 | 27c | 16,550$4,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,466.15 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed Acend | 66c | 6,923$4,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.49 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…9770backed Acend | 80c | 5,714$4,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.47 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Acend | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Acend | 61c | 2,000$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.75 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Acend | 70c | 1,982$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.49 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Acend | 77c | 1,812$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.35 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked 6666 | 27c | 1,600$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.95 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Acend | 67c | 1,569$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.86 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c6…7457backed 6666 | 37c | 1,022$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.34 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Acend | 63c | 985.35$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.16 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Acend | 69c | 900$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked 6666 | 30c | 788.04$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.16 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 6666 | 31c | 784.48$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.7 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…0038backed 6666 | 13c | 743.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed 6666 | 27c | 712.62$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.45 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 6666 | 26c | 500.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.07 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed 6666 | 27c | 499.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed 6666 | 34c | 498.95$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.61 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed 6666 | 31c | 480$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…7537backed 6666 | 49c | 467.13$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.39 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792c…d2ecbacked Acend | 66c | 447.63$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.49 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked 6666 | 24c | 415.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed Acend | 71c | 413.98$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.19 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Acend | 61c | 413.92$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.43 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 6666 | 27c | 400$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 6666 | 27c | 399.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Acend | 61c | 399.98$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…a80dbacked Acend | 62c | 350$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2d…9af1backed 6666 | 32c | 320$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf5…d9f2backed 6666 | 39c | 270$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked 6666 | 33c | 270$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked 6666 | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Acend | 65c | 215$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Acend | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Acend | 63c | 199.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed Acend | 56c | 199.96$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Acend | 76c | 195$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Acend | 71c | 181.67$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed 6666 | 36c | 162.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Acend | 60c | 153$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed 6666 | 34c | 146.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked 6666 | 31c | 106$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed 6666 | 34c | 105$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed 6666 | 36c | 104$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 6666 | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Acend | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed 6666 | 32c | 97.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…e603backed 6666 | 41c | 95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked 6666 | 34c | 94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Acend | 61c | 82.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked 6666 | 30c | 76.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed Acend | 61c | 72.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed 6666 | 45c | 69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked 6666 | 31c | 68.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked 6666 | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed 6666 | 34c | 58.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked 6666 | 30c | 56.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcad8…1b8abacked Acend | 71c | 56.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e6c9backed 6666 | 44c | 54.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed Acend | 61c | 48.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked 6666 | 44c | 46.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked 6666 | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked 6666 | 34c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Acend | 52c | 38.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed 6666 | 32c | 36.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…8eafbacked Acend | 66c | 35.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed 6666 | 41c | 35.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked 6666 | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Acend | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 228 | 37.3%85 W · 143 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Acend | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 189 | 39.2%74 W · 115 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked 6666 | 35c | 29.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked 6666 | 45c | 27.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Acend | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Acend | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs 6666 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs 6666 (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group CAcend won
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs 6666 - Map 1 WinnerAcend won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.