CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Acend vs 6666 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6f8b61159f9956313eb5eda2af535786b7894a31a5dc235c8b52639e3037294
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acendof Acend, 6666
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked 6666 | 35c | 943.22$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.67 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked 6666 | 24c | 881.64$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.47 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Acend | 64c | 688.63$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.96 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed Acend | 66c | 651.86$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.58 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Acend | 70c | 466.32$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.02 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked 6666 | 37c | 331.15$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.84 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Acend | 65c | 250$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.7 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 6666 | 25c | 240$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 6666 | 31c | 222$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed 6666 | 33c | 203.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Acend | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Acend | 63c | 200$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed 6666 | 35c | 153.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 6666 | 24c | 134.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked 6666 | 23c | 108.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 6666 | 24c | 92.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c6…7457backed Acend | 68c | 71.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed 6666 | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…8d9cbacked Acend | 63c | 63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked 6666 | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked 6666 | 36c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Acend | 73c | 45.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Acend | 67c | 41.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed 6666 | 40c | 40.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked 6666 | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 6666 | 37c | 39.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked 6666 | 37c | 35.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked 6666 | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed 6666 | 38c | 28.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked 6666 | 39c | 27.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Acend | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed Acend | 63c | 23.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Acend | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Acend | 64c | 20.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Acend | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs 6666 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs 6666 (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group CAcend won
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs 6666 - Map 2 WinnerAcend won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.