Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fd10eb00a154109a848c9930a8ac377bf70539f50e93e9408b7772203b07927
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 44c | 515.17$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.57 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec05…d8cdbacked Yes | 49c | 418.32$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 41c | 349.32$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.82 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 55c | 290.91$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.04 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 45c | 233.14$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.9 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 47c | 214$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…f7edbacked No | 49c | 179.46$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 58c | 177.4$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.21 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 56c | 164.83$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 53c | 150.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 52c | 140.02$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa760…2c51backed Yes | 48c | 139.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 212 | 64.6%137 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 59c | 129$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4719…0e32backed No | 65c | 128.54$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 52c | 125.75$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517d…f41fbacked No | 55c | 123.11$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 43c | 117.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 53c | 99.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 58c | 96.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 42c | 94.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 44c | 88.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 57c | 86.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 56c | 86.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 51c | 85.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 54c | 83.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 57c | 72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 48c | 70.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 46c | 70.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de6…f3e4backed No | 59c | 69.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 51c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 58c | 67.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 352 | 64.8%228 W · 124 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 41c | 66.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dc…4f72backed No | 68c | 66.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 241 | 64.7%156 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 44c | 65.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 34c | 64.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 50c | 63.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 36c | 56.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…94cbbacked Yes | 57c | 56.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 56c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 34c | 52.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 52c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 49c | 51.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 49c | 51.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 48c | 50.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed Yes | 59c | 50.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 52c | 50.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6c…e2d8backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc388…ed37backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 37c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…9a6bbacked No | 61c | 49.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 43c | 48.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked No | 54c | 47.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked No | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 49c | 43.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…ab7abacked Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 55c | 39.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a5…132bbacked Yes | 51c | 39.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…0e6dbacked No | 50c | 37.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9791…a14abacked Yes | 44c | 37.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 52c | 36.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 435 | 63.9%278 W · 157 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 50c | 36.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…f52ebacked Yes | 56c | 35.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 60c | 35.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…eb96backed No | 48c | 35.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 54c | 35.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 52c | 34.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792e…b01cbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 54c | 29.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked Yes | 54c | 27.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed No | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…dacdbacked Yes | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 299 | 48.2%144 W · 155 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Yes | 45c | 25.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 58c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…750abacked Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 63c | 24.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…1d16backed Yes | 49c | 23.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 59c | 21.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…e06fbacked No | 67c | 20.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 297 | 69.4%206 W · 91 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 57c | 19.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 52c | 19.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 7?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.