Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 16?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9510bf7fdfeece1f18d934a31987ef490fa6a0a6855391c16f4db7b31475a060

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $26,931
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,335

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,931 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x044f…d1f1backed No	65c	1,127$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.54	327	48.6%159 W · 168 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac22…363ebacked Yes	29c	1,124$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$796.42	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.22per pick	41cpaid	+117.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd23f…94a1backed No	31c	859.84$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.81	149	59.7%89 W · 60 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff2…f140backed Yes	30c	659.84$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.84	237	23.2%55 W · 182 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4941…a2bebacked Yes	32c	645.55$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.74	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes	79c	589.39$467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.07	148	42.6%63 W · 85 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	67c	508.94$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.51	884	48.5%429 W · 455 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	24c	494.09$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.46	235	51.9%122 W · 113 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked No	68c	474.02$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.64	120	55.8%67 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No	36c	414.67$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.51	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-61%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d85…726fbacked No	9c	387.51$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.09	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+3.7wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbec…808bbacked Yes	46c	367.78$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.78	76	23.7%18 W · 58 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbd…a959backed Yes	31c	355.34$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.83	392	31.9%125 W · 267 L	+22.5wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+24%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41e5…e283backed No	38c	341.53$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.59	50	54%27 W · 23 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe040…824fbacked No	34c	313.66$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.33	218	54.6%119 W · 99 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…39d5backed Yes	37c	273.75$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.81	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c63…93d4backed Yes	36c	252.02$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.75	441	38.1%168 W · 273 L	+27.8wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc92…27c9backed No	70c	250$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	74	50%37 W · 37 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2612…5289backed No	52c	249.2$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.47	218	44%96 W · 122 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	19c	248.82$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.33	160	51.9%83 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed No	20c	248.47$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.81	444	28.8%128 W · 316 L	-67.6wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	35c	234$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.32	399	52.4%209 W · 190 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f88…cdcbbacked Yes	56c	227.99$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.64	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…000bbacked Yes	34c	218.47$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.47	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed No	65c	210.16$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.65	136	46.3%63 W · 73 L	-10.5wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc34f…7d2ebacked No	30c	192.76$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.53	406	48.8%198 W · 208 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes	76c	172.58$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.93	183	42.6%78 W · 105 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes	35c	167$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.9	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	67c	164.75$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.99	343	54.8%188 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e5c…d892backed No	30c	157.19$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.28	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	+10.5wins	+0.14per pick	39cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb8e2…c595backed Yes	80c	150.76$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.76	49	51%25 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	65c	150$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.35	200	65%130 W · 70 L	+12.7wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	56c	128.44$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.36	1,318	43.9%579 W · 739 L	-26.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdca4…e93dbacked No	25c	127$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.03	126	40.5%51 W · 75 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No	9c	114.4$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.16	145	21.4%31 W · 114 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No	70c	109$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.3	118	39%46 W · 72 L	-13.1wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4079…7126backed No	66c	106.96$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.6	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa95e…a8edbacked Yes	35c	105.82$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.86	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	40c	105.31$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.17	246	37.4%92 W · 154 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No	67c	102.1$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.93	234	59.8%140 W · 94 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b42…ba1abacked Yes	59c	102.07$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.07	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+23%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff2…01b9backed No	46c	102.04$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.61	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a29…3cc9backed No	69c	100$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.5	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Yes	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e7…8ffbbacked Yes	66c	98.08$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.08	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	68c	97$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.49	230	44.8%103 W · 127 L	+11.8wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77f0…2b1fbacked No	71c	96$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.16	150	36.7%55 W · 95 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7adc…a971backed Yes	31c	93.45$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.48	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5425…4c65backed No	19c	93.34$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.39	69	60.9%42 W · 27 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda91…d760backed Yes	52c	93.08$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.89	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	59c	91$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.79	323	54.2%175 W · 148 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b40…ced4backed No	16c	90.1$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.09	63	46%29 W · 34 L	+6.1wins	+0.10per pick	36cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fc1…647abacked Yes	53c	90$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.3	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes	41c	89.92$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.92	186	38.2%71 W · 115 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No	28c	86.07$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.94	149	54.4%81 W · 68 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x417f…d9a9backed No	49c	84$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.81	50	52%26 W · 24 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4245…a467backed Yes	40c	80$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.2	167	38.3%64 W · 103 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes	30c	80$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	103	20.4%21 W · 82 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes	24c	79.68$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.54	186	62.4%116 W · 70 L	+13.0wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dc3…3472backed No	52c	77.83$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.52	120	55%66 W · 54 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x508d…791abacked No	71c	77$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.33	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x267d…ed00backed Yes	53c	72.79$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.89	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.4wins	-0.35per pick	49cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x567f…94b9backed Yes	33c	72.39$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.79	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd6b…477dbacked Yes	79c	70.96$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.2	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+72.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa99…29afbacked Yes	34c	70.58$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.58	72	36.1%26 W · 46 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	49c	70$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	360	55.3%199 W · 161 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes	29c	69.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.56	87	39.1%34 W · 53 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8688…27fbbacked Yes	56c	69.98$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed No	22c	69.31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	160	51.9%83 W · 77 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94e3…49b7backed Yes	58c	68.97$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.97	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b8…6983backed Yes	24c	68.22$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.12	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	32c	67.99$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.98	180	35.6%64 W · 116 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d8…b90dbacked No	40c	60.44$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.37	131	55.7%73 W · 58 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f30…f8debacked Yes	48c	59.99$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.19	173	45.1%78 W · 95 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No	27c	58$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.56	70	57.1%40 W · 30 L	+7.1wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes	29c	58$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.18	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a20…c1b5backed Yes	69c	57.5$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.6	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2c1…5b62backed Yes	24c	52.62$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.87	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c9e…3a21backed No	69c	52.17$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e71…c3b3backed Yes	70c	51.2$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.61	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No	69c	51.14$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.51	271	43.5%118 W · 153 L	-21.4wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No	64c	50$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.1	187	62.6%117 W · 70 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f3e…5337backed Yes	58c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.84	110	45.5%50 W · 60 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f6c…e2d8backed Yes	42c	50$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.15	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8e…aa69backed No	64c	50$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	38c	50$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.25	184	45.7%84 W · 100 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c9…b108backed Yes	34c	49.98$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.99	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0b…d571backed No	50c	49.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	95	58.9%56 W · 39 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	63c	48.9$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.81	183	48.6%89 W · 94 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes	29c	48.89$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.71	122	38.5%47 W · 75 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdbc…bd73backed No	54c	48.31$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.17	143	51.7%74 W · 69 L	-10.0wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedbd…dd60backed No	64c	47.9$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.77	157	66.2%104 W · 53 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9cc…59abbacked No	75c	47.78$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.99	51	70.6%36 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	69cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	28c	47.14$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.77	463	30.2%140 W · 323 L	-20.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75cc…6b15backed No	65c	46.87$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.47	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x286d…825abacked Yes	49c	46.57$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.87	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa016…67c2backed Yes	26c	46.21$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.21	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked No	45c	44.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb58…407abacked Yes	24c	43.85$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.43	148	27%40 W · 108 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d77…a694backed No	60c	43.52$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.11	50	66%33 W · 17 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 16?this page
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 16?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 16?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 16?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 16?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event