Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd3ba3e80cad9917752ac8a647cf8c4c69fea791b467e9e76fba63bccc16584b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 59c | 4,243$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.95 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 47c | 2,178$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.25 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 63c | 1,000$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 52c | 811.18$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.04 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed No | 7c | 673.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked No | 45c | 588.23$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.09 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 50c | 512.02$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.06 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 45c | 502.41$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.87 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 54c | 500$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.73 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd9…3c35backed Yes | 62c | 451.05$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.1 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 47c | 358.31$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.8 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 68c | 321.24$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe445…8750backed No | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 53c | 266.8$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.16 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 53c | 260.85$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.25 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 39c | 256.7$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 53c | 232$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.36 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 39c | 230$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.15 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 47c | 220$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.32 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 49c | 205.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.89 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 55c | 186.32$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.95 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 52c | 185.9$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 9c | 179.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf2…fcecbacked Yes | 59c | 169.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 52c | 155$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…2aafbacked Yes | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 106 | 65.1%69 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…5443backed Yes | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 54c | 149.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 50c | 149.76$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 45c | 149.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd115…4906backed Yes | 78c | 139.78$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 135 | 88.1%119 W · 16 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 138.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 28c | 137.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 38c | 132$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 123.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 59c | 122$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 55c | 117.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked Yes | 54c | 110.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 39c | 105.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 37c | 103.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed No | 21c | 100.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a96…c617backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…5cccbacked Yes | 56c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d964backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…b8c7backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…d3d9backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x527e…384ebacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 57c | 96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 58c | 95.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 46c | 90.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 53c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 58c | 89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 18c | 85.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…902dbacked Yes | 48c | 84.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…5c60backed No | 51c | 84.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 48c | 81.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed Yes | 50c | 81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 52c | 76.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 52c | 76.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked No | 42c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 45c | 74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 35c | 71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 73c | 69.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 55c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed Yes | 64c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 39c | 64.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 62c | 56.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 49c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 56c | 55.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…8817backed No | 43c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…33bcbacked Yes | 45c | 54.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 45c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 46c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed No | 52c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa5…c42fbacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0a3fbacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c54…02e9backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…ec8ebacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…aa30backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…4331backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…9e1dbacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8c5fbacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…42efbacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01e3…c67fbacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…866abacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b8…d8cebacked No | 52c | 49.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 46c | 47.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.