Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x022f56885c29cb36a743b14750e2ca37e31a59928f6b3ded9a675f54080b1c8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 54c | 4,480$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.92 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…abbabacked Yes | 2c | 1,040$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 46c | 700$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.5 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 38c | 651.03$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.34 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…b31ebacked No | 80c | 626.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.05 | 162 | 95.7%155 W · 7 L | +61.2wins | +0.38per pick | 58cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 86+0.33 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 46c | 578$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.88 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 542.92$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.51 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 46c | 489$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.94 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 63c | 452.64$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.72 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 30c | 414$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.26 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 46c | 378.38$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.16 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 71c | 374.9$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 37c | 322.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.31 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 58c | 316.9$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 18c | 310.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 39c | 286.79$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.46 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 68c | 256.7$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…6e25backed No | 73c | 250.71$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.83 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 58c | 220.28$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.96 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 61c | 220$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…69f5backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 267 | 44.2%118 W · 149 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 190.43$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 37c | 182.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 37c | 175.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 58c | 154.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.15 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…5443backed Yes | 37c | 149.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 37c | 144.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 56c | 139.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked Yes | 32c | 133.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 41c | 132.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 56c | 129.35$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 43c | 125$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 48c | 124.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked Yes | 37c | 121.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 57c | 120.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 20c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…cd8abacked Yes | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f4…d093backed Yes | 45c | 116.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 150 | 32%48 W · 102 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 55c | 116.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 60c | 112.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 54c | 111.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd663…6abcbacked Yes | 34c | 111.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 61c | 108.27$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 42c | 107.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 35c | 98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 31c | 95.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 64c | 94.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 44c | 93.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 41c | 91.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 26c | 89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 30c | 88.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…902dbacked No | 64c | 84.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 28c | 84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 54c | 83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 59c | 81.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 32c | 79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 32c | 78.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 57c | 77.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…4f19backed Yes | 43c | 77.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 51c | 76.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…840cbacked Yes | 49c | 73.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…efa0backed Yes | 41c | 72.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 68c | 72.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed No | 55c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 68c | 68.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…2fe3backed No | 58c | 68.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 66c | 68.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 27c | 68.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 69c | 68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3d…0a55backed Yes | 37c | 67.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 59c | 66.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c2…c908backed Yes | 32c | 66.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 66c | 64.03$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 33c | 62.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 61c | 61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 39c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 28c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed Yes | 43c | 52.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d9…d032backed Yes | 39c | 50.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 66c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…8317backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 34c | 45.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed Yes | 42c | 45.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 193 | 45.6%88 W · 105 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 42c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816d…47d0backed No | 70c | 42.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 35c | 42.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…ad82backed No | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.