Fifa International · resolved market
Jordan to score first vs. Algeria?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02737326cc6e96af0cbffd032205efe305d8f9296e86c67d18fc9df0d2cd2e56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 74c | 1,733$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.83 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 7c | 942.87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 680.86$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.02 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 73c | 628.99$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.16 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…dec2backed Yes | 26c | 613.81$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.22 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.56 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…ed52backed Yes | 26c | 480.77$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.77 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 72c | 380.7$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.45 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…cc8fbacked Yes | 27c | 371.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.35 | 64 | 23.4%15 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 79c | 350$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.83 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 73c | 320.3$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.82 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a74…ae2bbacked Yes | 28c | 296.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.44 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Yes | 26c | 292.31$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.31 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Yes | 24c | 245.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.05 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 66c | 226.7$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…f6f6backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 74c | 203.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.46 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…642cbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf170…d9eabacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 169.97$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f1…3c1cbacked No | 74c | 160$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 16c | 159.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a5…0f5abacked Yes | 32c | 157.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.33 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987d…0d48backed Yes | 27c | 149.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.88 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 28c | 142.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.62 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdb…0371backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 74c | 105.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…2a3dbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed2…9d82backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 77c | 84.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb241…8f91backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 22c | 72.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 21c | 60.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 71c | 51.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…8454backed No | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 39.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 35.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 77c | 28.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4618…7203backed No | 75c | 26.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…33bcbacked No | 77c | 22.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 62c | 22.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed No | 74c | 19.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 76c | 14.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jordan to score first vs. Algeria?this page
- Algeria to score first vs. Jordan?No won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.