Fifa International · resolved market
Algeria to score first vs. Jordan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f8886627cd621f30acc6e25a60e0b11006545b87bf3b0bfc1d2b4410ecc2a1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 65c | 1,057$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.94 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed No | 35c | 1,029$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.57 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 67c | 989$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.63 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 27c | 891.87$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.9 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 34c | 815.36$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.14 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 33c | 626$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.03 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 31c | 534.27$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.64 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…b4b5backed Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…8f0ebacked Yes | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x318d…e94cbacked Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 32c | 398.62$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.3 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eec…6b3dbacked Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 67c | 252.64$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 51c | 231.85$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.36 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 31c | 199.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…62febacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 32c | 126.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 67c | 120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 33c | 115.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd13b…e6f5backed Yes | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 33c | 79.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 67c | 75.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 68c | 72.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 69c | 65.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f8…f1a7backed No | 32c | 60.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 49c | 55.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 300 | 32.3%97 W · 203 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 34c | 46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…b4a3backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…19b2backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 257 | 54.5%140 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 33c | 35.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…57d5backed Yes | 71c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972d…b581backed Yes | 69c | 33.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…10d5backed Yes | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6eb…65a7backed Yes | 72c | 30.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa409…82bdbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7df…9e41backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…c74fbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…3c91backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…e294backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 301 | 48.2%145 W · 156 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…1369backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…e673backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 62c | 19.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…8a32backed Yes | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed Yes | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa5…4702backed Yes | 73c | 15.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -5.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Algeria to score first vs. Jordan?this page
- Jordan to score first vs. Algeria?Yes won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.