Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7d5787b197967f5ebabe29384756f90381b59f6b56fd3308874d7d9fb066fc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 34c | 1,267$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.65 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 66c | 479$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.86 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 35c | 433.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 66c | 350$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 68c | 199.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 35c | 176.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 30c | 149.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…ad42backed No | 65c | 139.9$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61c…4dd6backed Yes | 19c | 133.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 127$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 78c | 126.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 64c | 110.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 65c | 106.34$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 40c | 105.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…695abacked Yes | 37c | 97.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 120 | 72.5%87 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 77c | 96.91$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe5…91aabacked No | 68c | 88.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 73c | 84.07$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 80.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 77c | 73.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75f…f98bbacked No | 67c | 66.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb1…6644backed Yes | 28c | 56.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…42b1backed Yes | 30c | 48.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb96…794cbacked Yes | 30c | 47.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…68afbacked Yes | 32c | 43.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 65c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…ea0fbacked Yes | 35c | 39.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 37c | 39.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed Yes | 37c | 37.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 30c | 36.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…f91bbacked No | 67c | 35.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa760…2c51backed No | 67c | 32.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 212 | 64.6%137 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…bc14backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 26.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 66c | 25.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 66c | 25.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 42c | 24.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 51c | 23.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 76c | 22.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6122…7b8fbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…33bcbacked No | 72c | 18.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked No | 66c | 18.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…2a11backed No | 66c | 18.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 288 | 66.3%191 W · 97 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 78c | 18.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…c9fdbacked No | 67c | 17.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bed…bf63backed No | 63c | 17.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.