Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fuego vs Contra (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54e4116b37ff9e404106964d8a327330e4fed381c345df415e5e00e930265fe9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fuegoof Fuego, Contra
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Contra | 28c | 2,071$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.31 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Contra | 48c | 1,790$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.62 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Contra | 17c | 1,776$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.25 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Fuego | 48c | 956$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.12 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Fuego | 51c | 868.01$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.01 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Contra | 17c | 819$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.55 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -11.5wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -57%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…0d76backed Contra | 20c | 804.94$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.47 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Contra | 29c | 718.92$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.28 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fuego | 77c | 554.78$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.11 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Fuego | 80c | 518.44$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Fuego | 79c | 515.52$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.08 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…fe47backed Contra | 9c | 500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Contra | 18c | 499.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Contra | 50c | 431.7$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.51 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Contra | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.26 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…96e8backed Contra | 7c | 351.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Contra | 4c | 340$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bb…6538backed Fuego | 79c | 314.51$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Fuego | 50c | 300$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.48 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…7de8backed Contra | 9c | 251$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Contra | 49c | 242.4$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.14 | 159 | 73%116 W · 43 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Contra | 50c | 224.43$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…d0a7backed Fuego | 49c | 216.6$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Fuego | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.18 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Fuego | 71c | 203$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Contra | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Fuego | 48c | 179.2$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Fuego | 70c | 173.27$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fuego | 51c | 154.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Contra | 22c | 154$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Fuego | 56c | 152.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.72 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Fuego | 54c | 131.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Contra | 8c | 128.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Contra | 28c | 112$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Contra | 25c | 86.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Fuego | 75c | 77.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Contra | 30c | 73.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…d785backed Contra | 49c | 63.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Contra | 18c | 60.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…83bfbacked Fuego | 60c | 57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Contra | 40c | 54.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe1…af91backed Fuego | 61c | 52.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…84b4backed Fuego | 75c | 49.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Contra | 22c | 49.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Contra | 39c | 45.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Fuego | 80c | 45.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d93fbacked Fuego | 70c | 43.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Contra | 27c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7070…821cbacked Fuego | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Fuego | 66c | 34.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked Fuego | 60c | 32.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Contra | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Fuego | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf61…58dbbacked Contra | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Fuego | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…33bcbacked Fuego | 78c | 15.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fuego vs Contra (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Fuego vs Contra - Map 2 WinnerContra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.