Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 1 IR Iran?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c41d35a4243f2a05f15ab9b5ffac24500fd8266c1659cc77c93d3334563fd22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 30,161$9,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,652.86 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 24,519$16,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,703.95 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 17c | 7,786$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,477.3 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 63c | 7,026$4,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.18 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 5,103$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.39 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 78c | 4,937$3,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,872.8 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Yes | 17c | 3,576$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.69 | 224 | 21.9%49 W · 175 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…369bbacked Yes | 34c | 3,576$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 4c | 3,196$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.53 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 65c | 2,850$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.79 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 16c | 2,063$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.92 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed No | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,920$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.64 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 6c | 1,860$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.58 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…f71dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,789$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.18 | 168 | 27.4%46 W · 122 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 6c | 1,768$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.64 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 24c | 1,703$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.08 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked No | 1c | 1,438$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 192 | 18.8%36 W · 156 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Yes | 17c | 1,429$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.07 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 17c | 1,406$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.88 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked No | 4c | 1,390$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 17c | 1,271$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.93 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,244$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.62 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…6885backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.47 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 79c | 1,162$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.69 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 17c | 1,075$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.65 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 46c | 1,050$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.65 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.99 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.99 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 77c | 978.16$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.03 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf1…d61abacked Yes | 17c | 882.35$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.35 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…51afbacked No | 78c | 802.33$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.68 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…d3e8backed Yes | 16c | 795.55$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.15 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Yes | 10c | 752.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.21 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 16c | 750$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…5a3abacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4e…bd80backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 37c | 543.36$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.42 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…4e0abacked Yes | 17c | 538.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.61 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 41c | 538$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.91 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 18c | 536.67$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.07 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 62c | 534.6$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.25 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed No | 72c | 508.79$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.33 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +10.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10bd…270bbacked Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 16c | 499.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.98 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 6c | 499.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf269…b117backed Yes | 17c | 454.71$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.41 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda38…08f1backed Yes | 34c | 442.35$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.35 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…1791backed Yes | 17c | 432.53$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed No | 4c | 417.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 178 | 27.5%49 W · 129 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…5255backed Yes | 17c | 411.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.76 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…48b1backed Yes | 17c | 411.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.76 | 336 | 41.7%140 W · 196 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 17c | 411.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.76 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes | 57c | 400.01$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.05 | 229 | 31%71 W · 158 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 64c | 397.31$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.01 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 52c | 371.19$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.98 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 12c | 363.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.5 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…bd59backed No | 35c | 359.96$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.69 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Yes | 59c | 348.93$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 51c | 346.43$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 5c | 346.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x096f…5984backed No | 15c | 343.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd86a…89c7backed Yes | 30c | 320$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked No | 5c | 303$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…9564backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa109…7e42backed Yes | 17c | 295$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.85 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 15c | 284.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.24 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 33c | 278.01$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…29febacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8983…d301backed Yes | 33c | 270.09$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.13 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Yes | 39c | 256.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.42 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed No | 43c | 256$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fe…1471backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 148 | 18.9%28 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…0939backed No | 74c | 250$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.94 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 66c | 241.43$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.89 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…f498backed Yes | 17c | 241.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +274.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 300 | 32.3%97 W · 203 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ff…7803backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 105 | 41.9%44 W · 61 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +41%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cf…1d5abacked Yes | 65c | 230.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.65 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 56c | 212.83$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.77 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 72c | 211.27$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.25 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8e…1967backed Yes | 71c | 207.87$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…2e6dbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 16c | 191.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.65 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a0…aee2backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…33d5backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…457bbacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 142 | 16.2%23 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Yes | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 117 | 17.1%20 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 17c | 180$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.4 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf83…da82backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +12.7wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…4c28backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…2c27backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…a7e6backed No | 77c | 168.56$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +25.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…6d17backed Yes | 18c | 161.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.11 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 1 IR Iran?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 0 - 0 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 0 - 1 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 0 - 2 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 0 - 3 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 0 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 2 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 3 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 0 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 1 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 2 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 3 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 3 - 0 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 3 - 1 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 3 - 2 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 3 - 3 IR Iran?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.