Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 0 IR Iran?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6406ed49249940f571b0220436b2ad92bc6b7283ca39d65d7ad758b0fa313271
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 15,187$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.84 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 13c | 2,391$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.03 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 14c | 2,139$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.68 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 17c | 1,888$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 14c | 1,707$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 13c | 1,636$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.68 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb37…f9bbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x096f…5984backed Yes | 10c | 870.81$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 7c | 839.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x390a…67e8backed Yes | 3c | 781.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 12c | 704.64$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 13c | 468.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…5255backed Yes | 13c | 461.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 16c | 450$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Yes | 15c | 413.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 147 | 25.9%38 W · 109 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Yes | 13c | 377.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 342 | 31.3%107 W · 235 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 14c | 350$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 14c | 249.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…630dbacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 22.2%28 W · 98 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…d35fbacked Yes | 14c | 215$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1862…36bcbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 13c | 198.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 14c | 195.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 129 | 14.7%19 W · 110 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 8c | 184.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…453fbacked Yes | 14c | 155$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 120 | 28.3%34 W · 86 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…55d1backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1743…3d6fbacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 149.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8a…2ad7backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdb…0371backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…805cbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…457bbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 16.2%23 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 294 | 28.9%85 W · 209 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 13c | 111.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…287bbacked Yes | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcea7…8f37backed Yes | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…ba49backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…785fbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes | 14c | 74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4e…80e4backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 0 IR Iran?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 0 - 0 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 0 - 1 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 0 - 2 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 0 - 3 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 1 IR Iran?Yes won
- Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 2 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 3 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 0 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 1 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 2 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 3 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 3 - 0 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 3 - 1 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 3 - 2 IR Iran?No won
- Exact Score: Egypt 3 - 3 IR Iran?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.