TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,894
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,894 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks46c36,609$16,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,783.0318651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked Spurs54c15,000$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,1002642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+64.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Spurs54c13,445$7,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2741942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs56c11,602$6,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,465.7364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs54c10,443$5,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,674.2910944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Knicks45c9,659$4,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,312.5511447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Spurs54c9,409$5,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,080.8926753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks42c9,118$3,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,333.348,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks47c8,642$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,571.525352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks44c8,199$3,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,578.5855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Knicks46c8,000$3,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,32024252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Knicks45c7,690$3,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,229.4835744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked Knicks45c7,103$3,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,906.736336.5%23 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Spurs55c6,666$3,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,666.31540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs54c5,718$3,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,106.384,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs54c5,343$2,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,865.791,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Spurs54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70017247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Spurs54c3,661$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Spurs52c3,609$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,876.7459653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Knicks47c3,001$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.462352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Spurs54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Knicks45c2,618$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.932,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Knicks45c2,583$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.2462144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Knicks46c2,344$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.927143.7%31 W · 40 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Spurs2c2,250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d98…e447backed Spurs55c2,085$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1471154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Knicks44c1,899$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.5949249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Spurs54c1,831$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9896053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Spurs55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a7a…9ca2backed Spurs74c1,709$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2702650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ad…6a74backed Spurs55c1,637$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.18425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f1c…5f43backed Spurs46c1,525$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.52846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Spurs52c1,441$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.0914842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs57c1,404$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80032347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Spurs55c1,364$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75021957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Spurs55c1,291$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7108450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs45c1,188$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.4953842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Spurs54c1,120$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.835349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Knicks46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.9615246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x298a…15b9backed Knicks47c1,050$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Knicks46c1,026$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.0916740.1%67 W · 100 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Knicks44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56025651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x928f…b619backed Knicks47c944.6$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+64.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Spurs54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005160.8%31 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks44c916.32$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.261,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Spurs55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0874…6277backed Knicks23c907.36$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.261346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Spurs55c904.42$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.4321653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs54c888$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.5250346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Knicks47c850$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.529556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Spurs53c844.78$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.731,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Spurs55c800$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44011757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks49c753.78$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.661,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8239…d9a3backed Spurs41c750$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.11241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Spurs55c727.27$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40036450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks35c719.34$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs62c714.54$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.461,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks47c694.3$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.5413161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Spurs52c660$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.456043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Spurs53c653.77$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.54540%18 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Spurs57c586.96$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.2418941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60da…a14ebacked Spurs54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012346.3%57 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Knicks46c526.49$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.330448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Spurs65c522.61$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.291,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs55c518$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.91,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Knicks32c515.18$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.0727245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Spurs66c510.62$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.7917946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Knicks38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2754,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Spurs49c448$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.7725045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Knicks45c444.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.275657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Spurs53c428.34$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.0222948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0557…1ee7backed Spurs3c417.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c7a…fdbebacked Knicks48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.67862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Knicks46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21665762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1350…7169backed Spurs60c399.99$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2383438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Knicks46c389$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.0645251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Spurs54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Spurs53c356.98$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.264651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks46c320.96$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.6552150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Spurs64c312.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Knicks57c304.42$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.934255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Knicks45c287.06$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.885435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Knicks36c278.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.0633837.3%126 W · 212 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Spurs54c268.52$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1458754%47 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x943b…e35ebacked Spurs40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b78…bf73backed Spurs54c237.04$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1282352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Spurs54c225$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.550%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Spurs48c223.54$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.36141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2f7…ae5fbacked Knicks46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcada…f2a3backed Knicks47c212.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.762352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs60c209.62$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6760250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Knicks36c205$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.299853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Spurs43c199.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8638242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Spurs10c198.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8133030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs30c196$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0245445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Knicks42c192$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9825944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9069…9c14backed Spurs55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014557.2%83 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Spurs55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks26c173.48$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9718140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.