Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Yidi Yang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x254377e2e861a0b2977a99d70ea520ce164c490779fd57fa46c8f9115cac37b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yidi Yangof Daria Khomutsianskaya, Yidi Yang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yidi Yang | 61c | 1,655$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.95 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 42c | 1,153$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.67 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Yidi Yang | 59c | 1,024$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.4 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 12c | 1,009$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.88 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 31c | 964.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 104 | 23.1%24 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…dccabacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 25c | 829.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.6 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Yidi Yang | 79c | 590$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yidi Yang | 69c | 526.77$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.77 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 18c | 500.05$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 332 | 53.6%178 W · 154 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 44c | 485.98$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.83 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Yidi Yang | 78c | 468.83$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.75 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yidi Yang | 47c | 429.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.4 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yidi Yang | 68c | 414.87$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.39 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 24c | 380$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.21 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 34c | 359.93$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.15 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yidi Yang | 69c | 229$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 33c | 180.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 11c | 133.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Yidi Yang | 51c | 119.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 32c | 90.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 29c | 88.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Yidi Yang | 69c | 85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Yidi Yang | 61c | 73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed Yidi Yang | 70c | 71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 45c | 59.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 29c | 50.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yidi Yang | 65c | 46.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 196 | 37.2%73 W · 123 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 47c | 41.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Yidi Yang | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Yidi Yang | 55c | 38.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 609 | 62.7%382 W · 227 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 46c | 38.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ce…0fbcbacked Yidi Yang | 54c | 38.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yidi Yang | 73c | 29.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yidi Yang | 72c | 26.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.