Bundesliga · resolved market
SC Preußen Münster vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f6854d39ca0be02cb05ccdd08c2c942810ed1a450a289a05f8286b67158ea7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf074…9164backed Yes | 74c | 1,101$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 389.62$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 27c | 342.86$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 26c | 337$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 212.59$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf392…bb0dbacked Yes | 55c | 204.3$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…e589backed Yes | 56c | 153.81$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 40c | 123.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 57c | 87.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 32c | 82.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…d153backed No | 45c | 69.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf564…a382backed No | 45c | 69.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…7f28backed No | 45c | 65.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed3…983fbacked No | 44c | 40.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…e998backed No | 44c | 38.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb1…8ec8backed No | 44c | 37.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…9278backed No | 44c | 37.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 26.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Preußen Münster vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SC Preußen Münster vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Preußen Münster vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Preußen Münster vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Preußen Münster vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.