Asian League · resolved market
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x036dd55307f1bd67433987a98c7b2ed4355ed18a9ad1c26d05de906cd624cdb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed No | 75c | 360$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…2514backed Yes | 53c | 256.72$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Yes | 43c | 227.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.65 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed No | 49c | 202.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 182.61$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…e589backed No | 46c | 179.54$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…4c63backed No | 47c | 173.95$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 34c | 143.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.98 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…e958backed No | 58c | 99.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…1ab8backed Yes | 53c | 90.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0a…7ca8backed No | 47c | 88.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…9278backed No | 47c | 85.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…f103backed No | 47c | 83.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb1…8ec8backed Yes | 53c | 82.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 50c | 61.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…5846backed Yes | 55c | 54.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 49c | 51.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…6266backed Yes | 54c | 46.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…8e82backed Yes | 54c | 45.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…3e44backed Yes | 54c | 44.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d2…a07abacked Yes | 54c | 43.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked No | 72c | 41.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed No | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed No | 75c | 39.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 73c | 37.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…4711backed No | 55c | 32.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…c264backed No | 62c | 24.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 57c | 20.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-2.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.