Asian League · resolved market
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ed93d290244904447a7a18abe5d4cf65b47046655721fa9e453dabf2267b22d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 48c | 2,856$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 52c | 1,794$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.89 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Under | 60c | 1,611$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Under | 57c | 1,322$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.48 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 471.65$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.28 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 39c | 319.37$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.64 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 35c | 275.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Under | 45c | 244.22$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.22 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 21c | 212.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 19c | 199.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 76c | 176.98$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 153.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.43 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca70…85debacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…796ebacked Over | 51c | 131.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…e958backed Over | 48c | 94.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 44c | 81.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c77…bde7backed Under | 58c | 67.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a6…0b06backed Under | 49c | 66.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 47c | 65.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 49c | 64.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf392…bb0dbacked Under | 49c | 63.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…5846backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabee…4f3fbacked Over | 25c | 50.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Under | 61c | 44.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Over | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 64c | 32.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…7a80backed Over | 72c | 30.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…bfffbacked Over | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8529…b973backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 55c | 18.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 67cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…1a0fbacked Under | 80c | 12.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5this page
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-2.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.