NHL · resolved market
KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. Traktor
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f7c1f04a0bd1aa0fb9d14bb20bf104aff7c9b39db193aaa88d95ed25cb72be4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskof Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk, Traktor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,086 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 42c | 541.4$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.01 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 41c | 487.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba08…21f1backed Traktor | 58c | 427.22$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Traktor | 58c | 368.43$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.74 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…dd2ebacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 42c | 367.76$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.3 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Traktor | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…8107backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 43c | 277.62$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Traktor | 56c | 264.4$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.26 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…e998backed Traktor | 58c | 241.3$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 44c | 228.47$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.95 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…1805backed Traktor | 58c | 126.46$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf6…4eaabacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 42c | 116.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…9278backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 42c | 114.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Traktor | 56c | 110.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 44c | 110$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…41c4backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 42c | 106.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed Traktor | 57c | 95.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…bf55backed Traktor | 57c | 92.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb1…8ec8backed Traktor | 57c | 89.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1d…32fabacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 42c | 88.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Traktor | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Traktor | 58c | 72.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e6…b209backed Traktor | 59c | 71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Traktor | 59c | 71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Traktor | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 43c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…23ccbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 44c | 34.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 44c | 31.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Traktor | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Traktor | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Traktor | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 263 | 57.8%152 W · 111 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.