Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Butler Bulldogs vs. Georgetown Hoyas: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x892f0f1c412d6db80c5b1556eed5b999c9b2b0e10235cf19ab72fa4202b62ff6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 49c | 3,295$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.41 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 50c | 2,165$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.5 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Under | 50c | 2,040$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Over | 51c | 2,010$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.8 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 51c | 1,469$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.81 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 51c | 97.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 88.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820e…9db7backed Under | 49c | 78.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 59.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 51c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…5a8abacked Over | 51c | 27.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb1…8ec8backed Over | 51c | 26.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…eb85backed Over | 51c | 24.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Butler Bulldogs vs. Georgetown Hoyas: O/U 147.5this page
- Butler Bulldogs vs. Georgetown HoyasButler Bulldogs won
- Butler Bulldogs vs. Georgetown Hoyas: O/U 145.5Over won
- Butler Bulldogs vs. Georgetown Hoyas: O/U 148.5Over won
- Spread: Georgetown Hoyas (-5.5)Butler Bulldogs won
- Spread: Georgetown Hoyas (-6.5)Butler Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.