Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Georgetown Hoyas (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78c18ff713e96504d9f734751411a1651707e2f155b56b0d08ff5d70c41a203d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Butler Bulldogsof Georgetown Hoyas, Butler Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Butler Bulldogs | 52c | 724$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.15 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Georgetown Hoyas | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Butler Bulldogs | 55c | 450.78$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.78 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Georgetown Hoyas | 50c | 303.2$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.88 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Butler Bulldogs | 55c | 259$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.65 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Georgetown Hoyas | 45c | 249$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.05 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 48c | 220.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Butler Bulldogs | 53c | 204.57$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.57 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.58 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 47c | 193.57$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Georgetown Hoyas | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Georgetown Hoyas | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Butler Bulldogs | 52c | 109.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Butler Bulldogs | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1487…d443backed Georgetown Hoyas | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Butler Bulldogs | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Georgetown Hoyas | 47c | 74.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Butler Bulldogs | 48c | 72.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Georgetown Hoyas | 50c | 69.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Butler Bulldogs | 48c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Georgetown Hoyas | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Georgetown Hoyas | 51c | 24.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Butler Bulldogs | 49c | 22.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgetown Hoyas (-6.5)this page
- Butler Bulldogs vs. Georgetown HoyasButler Bulldogs won
- Butler Bulldogs vs. Georgetown Hoyas: O/U 145.5Over won
- Butler Bulldogs vs. Georgetown Hoyas: O/U 147.5Over won
- Butler Bulldogs vs. Georgetown Hoyas: O/U 148.5Over won
- Spread: Georgetown Hoyas (-5.5)Butler Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.