Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Georgetown Hoyas (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9be3f32634094d145dcc80f7baf993f610668d3073a1d9b39639e56e55d63f7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Butler Bulldogsof Georgetown Hoyas, Butler Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Georgetown Hoyas | 56c | 6,500$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Butler Bulldogs | 44c | 3,348$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.76 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Butler Bulldogs | 44c | 3,041$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.08 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Butler Bulldogs | 48c | 1,321$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.55 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Butler Bulldogs | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Georgetown Hoyas | 53c | 509.43$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Georgetown Hoyas | 52c | 403$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.56 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Georgetown Hoyas | 51c | 343.93$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.4 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Georgetown Hoyas | 52c | 147.59$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Butler Bulldogs | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1487…d443backed Georgetown Hoyas | 53c | 95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Georgetown Hoyas | 52c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Georgetown Hoyas | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Georgetown Hoyas | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 50c | 39.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgetown Hoyas (-5.5)this page
- Butler Bulldogs vs. Georgetown HoyasButler Bulldogs won
- Butler Bulldogs vs. Georgetown Hoyas: O/U 145.5Over won
- Butler Bulldogs vs. Georgetown Hoyas: O/U 147.5Over won
- Butler Bulldogs vs. Georgetown Hoyas: O/U 148.5Over won
- Spread: Georgetown Hoyas (-6.5)Butler Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.