Asian League · resolved market
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf9dc9cc3866e91683821dbae6f264dcae39d3dda51ec02980316143f122cb6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 59c | 2,960$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.58 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 2,063$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.08 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 2,051$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.22 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 2,046$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.37 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 56c | 1,782$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 29c | 1,517$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 39c | 1,144$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 41c | 737.27$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.83 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1384…2c75backed Under | 56c | 718.68$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5155…7b9fbacked Under | 56c | 718.36$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…1ba2backed Under | 56c | 709.9$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 10c | 306.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 43c | 289.3$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.31 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 43c | 289.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.18 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 43c | 253.29$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.91 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 27c | 236.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 45c | 234.02$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.31 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 58c | 229.17$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 194.52$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 28c | 190.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 41c | 164.11$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 10c | 158.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 41c | 124.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 42c | 104.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cb…6741backed Under | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 21c | 96.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed Over | 47c | 86.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 42c | 85.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 41c | 82.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 41c | 82.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 41c | 82.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 73.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 64c | 71.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 45c | 68.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed Over | 35c | 62.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 38c | 61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 23c | 60.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Over | 45c | 48.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 44c | 36.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 43c | 35.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked Under | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 44c | 31.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 41c | 30.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 44c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 58c | 26.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 60c | 25.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 47c | 23.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Under | 55c | 23.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8c…42d1backed Under | 60c | 23.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked Under | 69c | 23.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 54c | 21.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 63c | 18.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 69c | 18.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Under | 63c | 17.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.