Asian League · resolved market
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cf50919ba42f51d38ab6b44e2af88f90eafe5feb15daadf041c72eea3b0d557
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 53c | 5,688$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 5,517$3,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.24 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae9…0783backed Over | 33c | 1,758$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d8…6052backed Under | 56c | 1,090$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d8…f8a5backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 657.36$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.91 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…b2f0backed Under | 43c | 593.45$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 50c | 486.36$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.53 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 43c | 466.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.14 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 398.89$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.82 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 340.51$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.76 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 53c | 328.35$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.35 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 40c | 213.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 48c | 175.32$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe8…3684backed Under | 58c | 173.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 50c | 160.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b5…56cdbacked Over | 28c | 130$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 44c | 103.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 30c | 99.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 65c | 96.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 50c | 81.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Under | 74c | 81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 51c | 72.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 66c | 72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 38c | 66.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Over | 45c | 66.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 52c | 66.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 40c | 62.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 56c | 62.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 50c | 60.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 68c | 57.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 33c | 53.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 31c | 51.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 63c | 48.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 63c | 44.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 55c | 41.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 48c | 35.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…d76fbacked Over | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Under | 53c | 35.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Under | 58c | 30.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…3458backed Over | 65c | 27.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…9b6ebacked Over | 44c | 27.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 48c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Under | 62c | 24.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Under | 60c | 20.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 58c | 20.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +7.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 60c | 18.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.