Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf045c009d0cc0005efc318bc65f875a280c3078a3d955374e7307a7d994ac874
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanghai Haigang FCof Shandong Taishan FC, Shanghai Haigang FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shandong Taishan FC | 1c | 1,454$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Shandong Taishan FC | 6c | 756.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shandong Taishan FC | 10c | 544$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 71c | 530.84$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.87 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 71c | 306.48$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 8c | 299.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a35…f88bbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 34c | 268.65$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.34 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 29c | 240.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Shandong Taishan FC | 29c | 236.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 64c | 208.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Shandong Taishan FC | 29c | 176.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Shandong Taishan FC | 28c | 113$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 30c | 105.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 69c | 101.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Shandong Taishan FC | 28c | 89.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Shandong Taishan FC | 30c | 87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 71c | 80.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 28c | 64.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Shandong Taishan FC | 28c | 64.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Shandong Taishan FC | 30c | 62.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d03…9cefbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 32c | 61.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Shandong Taishan FC | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Shandong Taishan FC | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 28c | 40.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 28c | 37.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Shandong Taishan FC | 30c | 37.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…ed74backed Shandong Taishan FC | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 71c | 26.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 71c | 26.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 71c | 26.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 71c | 26.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 71c | 26.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 71c | 26.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 71c | 26.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbb…0c51backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 70c | 22.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98be…d902backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 70c | 19.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 68c | 17.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906e…39fdbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 70c | 17.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)this page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.