Asian League · resolved market
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68c17e13cd4d2f1735cce77f468bbbc4e72af78a5d7e70e0d671211e90e34668
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 1,061$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.45 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…b2f0backed Under | 27c | 1,033$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 17c | 742.85$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.37 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 75c | 704.96$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.49 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…3fcbbacked Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 72c | 363.92$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.41 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 70c | 250$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Under | 25c | 199.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 19c | 198.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 71c | 189.41$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Over | 75c | 166$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…b7f8backed Under | 16c | 107.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 15c | 94.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3e…8b7cbacked Under | 16c | 69.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf55…92a2backed Over | 73c | 26.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -8.5wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.