Asian League · resolved market
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08dd64a79cece87b1934d2257ef888943bb88c25d675c84fc502d007d992a4b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 2,225$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.66 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 76c | 842.98$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.32 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 65c | 625.68$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.97 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…b2f0backed No | 36c | 576.56$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Yes | 63c | 290.01$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.77 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…5ecdbacked Yes | 50c | 154$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 61c | 113.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…f067backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 40c | 99.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 83.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 58c | 69.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 63c | 67.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 57c | 53.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…d76fbacked Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 65c | 32.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…b7f8backed No | 36c | 31.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 53c | 27.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8c…42d1backed Yes | 63c | 19.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.