Asian League · resolved market
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x083041edc2db21dbf254971bf22523982af44c567d79005e58fe703aed59e7cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 6c | 1,747$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 7c | 1,277$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…122dbacked Under | 77c | 350$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 7c | 186.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 26c | 125.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a35…f88bbacked Over | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 27c | 89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 72c | 54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 72c | 52.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Under | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5d…0fbfbacked Under | 50c | 35.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…9113backed Under | 50c | 34.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…e080backed Under | 50c | 33.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…4224backed Under | 50c | 33.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…db7ebacked Under | 50c | 29.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…1100backed Under | 50c | 29.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc886…0288backed Under | 50c | 29.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…0b41backed Under | 50c | 29.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…0754backed Under | 50c | 29.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…1d7cbacked Under | 50c | 29.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ce…5893backed Under | 50c | 29.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…4f82backed Under | 50c | 29.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d2…ba63backed Under | 50c | 29.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9879…0a36backed Under | 50c | 28.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb7…50b4backed Under | 50c | 28.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2f…fcdcbacked Under | 50c | 28.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7611…f2a4backed Under | 50c | 28.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e6…8431backed Under | 50c | 28.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff6…2ff7backed Under | 50c | 28.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…74bfbacked Under | 50c | 28.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c74…b314backed Under | 50c | 28.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486a…1c30backed Under | 50c | 28.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb479…cdcabacked Under | 50c | 28.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a23…e8a9backed Under | 50c | 28.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x679f…f9e0backed Under | 50c | 28.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…65bfbacked Under | 50c | 27.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0937…99dfbacked Under | 50c | 27.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b06…3ef9backed Under | 50c | 27.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x979c…a93cbacked Under | 50c | 27.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f60…3ab8backed Under | 50c | 27.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x914f…e477backed Under | 50c | 27.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…fea6backed Under | 50c | 27.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…6690backed Under | 50c | 27.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b26…10c6backed Under | 50c | 27.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…b17fbacked Under | 50c | 27.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4d…7ca5backed Under | 50c | 27.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44df…7855backed Under | 50c | 27.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6453…9a7dbacked Under | 50c | 27.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd7…834dbacked Under | 50c | 27.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaccb…5b2ebacked Under | 50c | 27.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…85e6backed Under | 50c | 27.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…0f5bbacked Under | 50c | 27.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…9d17backed Under | 50c | 27.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5baa…15e2backed Under | 50c | 27.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351f…ccb4backed Under | 50c | 27.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…ecf2backed Under | 50c | 27.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…43fbbacked Under | 50c | 27.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c34…7bc6backed Under | 50c | 26.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6c…a200backed Under | 50c | 26.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfd…72debacked Under | 50c | 26.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…3f99backed Under | 50c | 26.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 78c | 26.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…0004backed Under | 50c | 26.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9643…3e01backed Under | 50c | 26.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4d…d3a0backed Under | 50c | 26.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…4ba4backed Under | 50c | 26.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…5c16backed Under | 50c | 26.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…467dbacked Under | 50c | 26.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5d…cb42backed Under | 50c | 25.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c8…872bbacked Under | 50c | 25.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 74c | 15.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…18c6backed Under | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.