TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sharks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,868
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,740

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,868 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Over51c121,898$62,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,770.9567051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under49c100,000$49,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,999.7922443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under35c5,411$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.9542948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c4,141$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.862,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over51c3,173$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.8833450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0daa…c9dabacked Over56c3,115$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.381050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c3,055$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.2859450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf715…2c2abacked Over52c2,787$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.744247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Under50c2,197$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.9231148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under44c2,047$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.592,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Under49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007054.3%38 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c2,018$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.662,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c2,000$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.961,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Under49c1,950$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.55541.8%23 W · 32 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c1,800$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.9676950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under52c1,737$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.8822946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under16c1,605$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.562,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under49c1,531$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9810663.2%67 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f59…4c9fbacked Under32c1,197$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Under49c1,180$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.24955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under28c802$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.931,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under13c578$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1412146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under50c527.08$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.032,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5123…7e5ebacked Under54c508.3$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24016546.7%77 W · 88 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011152.3%58 W · 53 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under44c473.85$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21025449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under49c452$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.487651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Under49c433$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.175957.6%34 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under49c426$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.7420756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c402.2$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.2666552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.625154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under49c354$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4633950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over69c337$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.717152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Under13c311.48$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.819431.9%30 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over51c304$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.476046.7%28 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under49c291$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.597857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Over52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.466139.3%24 W · 37 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under49c273.76$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.317448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over52c259.61$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7336852.2%192 W · 176 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc155…b602backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3357…8120backed Under49c205.55$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0a…758ebacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over49c202.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.161,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over46c202$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.081,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9862447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989849%48 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaebb…19f3backed Under54c196.08$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under50c192$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9626551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under26c179.26$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6138551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb816…2568backed Over61c162.18$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over47c147$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9111058.2%64 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x567f…b6cebacked Over71c143.04$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+89.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under49c138$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.629347.3%44 W · 49 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76a5…555cbacked Over51c135.92$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.921127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe942…f7adbacked Over47c129$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Over48c126.77$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.927357.5%42 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Over49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.458555.3%47 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6056553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under35c121.04$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9569550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Under49c120.67$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1311050.9%56 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under33c116.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0882353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016056.3%90 W · 70 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x540f…92bebacked Under49c102$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.983455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Under53c102$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.064751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Under49c102$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.984553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc47a…68e6backed Under49c102$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.982857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over51c100.01$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0138849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5242750.8%217 W · 210 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4e4…2e35backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4818941.8%79 W · 110 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce3a…2477backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020245%91 W · 111 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc729…d7b6backed Under53c99.1$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over79c96.5$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.569653.4%372 W · 324 L-16.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under48c96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0826154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Over47c90.71$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0611253.6%60 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8847…0a81backed Over47c84.55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.811942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over52c83.88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6415554.8%85 W · 70 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd82…4068backed Under49c83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.672352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Under49c83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6712551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under49c83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.678548.2%41 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under50c83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.515248%73 W · 79 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Under49c83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6710359.2%61 W · 42 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over66c79.17$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.771,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under50c78.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4627659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37f1…19a0backed Under26c76.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under29c76.61$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4511833.1%39 W · 79 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Over51c72.53$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.546456.3%36 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cca…3c3bbacked Under49c63$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8770%0 W · 7 L-3.8wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbdf4…c6ccbacked Under49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307145.1%32 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Over74c55.93$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.639231.5%29 W · 63 L-12.7wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over69c55.19$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.998349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e4…6ee4backed Under49c55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.953542.9%15 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Under49c53.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.466248.4%30 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Under49c51.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.275650%28 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511054.5%60 W · 50 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over56c51.01$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.623,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.536349%178 W · 185 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Under28c49.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.681618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.