NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Jets: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0cafeab8f64d0da0e576ad91a949b5f9597531ec9c347e5398fc596350deaa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 41c | 2,879$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.37 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 59c | 1,661$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.16 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 59c | 330.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.02 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 39c | 256.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.22 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 60c | 255$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 40c | 206.66$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 12c | 201$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…bcc6backed Under | 42c | 110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f8…2922backed Under | 42c | 110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9093…188ebacked Under | 42c | 110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 60c | 58.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 61c | 52.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1373…1d26backed Over | 61c | 52.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 41c | 42.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 59c | 41.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 38c | 40.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…f5a5backed Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 60c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…786bbacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 76c | 26.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc9…7a80backed Over | 61c | 26.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x690d…5c59backed Under | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7363…1198backed Under | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fe…9af6backed Under | 40c | 25.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Over | 60c | 17.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e7…a08dbacked Over | 58c | 17.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Over | 61c | 16.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Jets: O/U 5.5this page
- Sharks vs. JetsSharks won
- Sharks vs. Jets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Jets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.