NHL · resolved market
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0817084e33d9b847042b5da387bc4d3c0344f0e4c870165ec41565fd395541f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Jets, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Jets | 37c | 339.96$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.79 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Jets | 39c | 334.61$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Sharks | 61c | 326.78$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.44 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…9971backed Jets | 38c | 278.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.93 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Sharks | 63c | 223.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.69 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Sharks | 62c | 133.32$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Sharks | 63c | 97.52$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Sharks | 62c | 75.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Sharks | 66c | 63.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Sharks | 63c | 60.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Jets | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Sharks | 63c | 49.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…4db6backed Sharks | 62c | 48.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…c6ccbacked Sharks | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…b579backed Jets | 37c | 27.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Sharks | 62c | 25.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Sharks | 72c | 16.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Sharks | 68c | 15.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)this page
- Sharks vs. JetsSharks won
- Sharks vs. Jets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Jets: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.