TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: VfB eSports vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
VfB eSportsof VfB eSports, ROSSMANN Centaurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,706
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,725

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,706 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x17f1…af18backed ROSSMANN Centaurs2c12,221$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.863775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs61c5,125$3,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,139.482,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0daa…c9dabacked VfB eSports51c4,785$2,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,360.531369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs59c3,349$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.6166437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs50c1,497$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.311,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed ROSSMANN Centaurs46c1,370$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.367931.8%216 W · 463 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1234…c1bbbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs54c1,350$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.433542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed VfB eSports55c1,090$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.3650646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked VfB eSports42c1,086$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.1524741.3%102 W · 145 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed ROSSMANN Centaurs42c992.11$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.3969539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ROSSMANN Centaurs43c802.53$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.682,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed VfB eSports56c694.25$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.4760855.8%339 W · 269 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked VfB eSports55c672.17$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.121,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed VfB eSports41c660.81$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.881,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed ROSSMANN Centaurs58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34886758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked VfB eSports47c580.74$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.5712934.9%45 W · 84 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed VfB eSports35c543.65$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.3712052.5%63 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked VfB eSports41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2951,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba12…6a47backed ROSSMANN Centaurs53c499.99$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.992839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked VfB eSports40c496.48$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.2946637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed VfB eSports46c420.47$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9723674.6%176 W · 60 L+17.9wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed VfB eSports47c409.56$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.1228361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed ROSSMANN Centaurs10c359.93$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.814231%44 W · 98 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed VfB eSports47c350.2$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.6180832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs53c341.13$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.4364749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed VfB eSports68c335.24$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.761,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed VfB eSports44c327.54$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4764451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed VfB eSports47c325$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.2592342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed ROSSMANN Centaurs53c315.84$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3923932.6%78 W · 161 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19563646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed VfB eSports55c299.95$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.871,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed ROSSMANN Centaurs44c289.92$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.567435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked VfB eSports50c285.18$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6454934.8%191 W · 358 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed VfB eSports38c267.43$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.218627.9%24 W · 62 L-13.2wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed VfB eSports48c262.06$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0332542.2%137 W · 188 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked VfB eSports37c260.81$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.42,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked VfB eSports41c235.27$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.8118542.2%78 W · 107 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs28c231$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8234834.2%119 W · 229 L-39.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3ac8…45c4backed VfB eSports45c214.89$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1951044.9%229 W · 281 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked VfB eSports48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9582161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed ROSSMANN Centaurs52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35e…4a6bbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs48c183.37$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.24269%29 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ROSSMANN Centaurs28c175.77$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.483,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed ROSSMANN Centaurs51c173.19$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.324768.1%32 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x406d…5298backed VfB eSports59c165.48$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9414363.6%91 W · 52 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed VfB eSports47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.531643%136 W · 180 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed ROSSMANN Centaurs30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459537.9%36 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed VfB eSports47c142.6$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6150749.7%252 W · 255 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed VfB eSports69c142.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0957151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked VfB eSports66c134.23$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2421753.9%117 W · 100 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked VfB eSports36c133.56$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4811450.9%58 W · 56 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed ROSSMANN Centaurs42c128.24$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.381,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed VfB eSports47c122.37$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4778043.1%336 W · 444 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed VfB eSports48c121.75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3115148.3%73 W · 78 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caa…b2bdbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs53c120$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.220556.6%116 W · 89 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked VfB eSports55c119.41$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4440237.8%152 W · 250 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…5cefbacked VfB eSports57c118.83$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6217057.1%97 W · 73 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed ROSSMANN Centaurs26c109.37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2115823.4%37 W · 121 L-21.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-58.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe8f7…7eadbacked VfB eSports47c106.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3918846.3%87 W · 101 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ROSSMANN Centaurs37c103.61$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.871,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc51f…e115backed ROSSMANN Centaurs49c99.47$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5111665.5%76 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d2d…6b23backed ROSSMANN Centaurs54c98.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.092352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3e…5d9dbacked VfB eSports41c96.46$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9148042.3%203 W · 277 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…aa40backed ROSSMANN Centaurs11c94.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.411952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+103.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs41c93.51$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0373237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed ROSSMANN Centaurs28c93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0442124.7%104 W · 317 L-51.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x13b5…7e1cbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6810766.4%71 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69f0…2dc9backed ROSSMANN Centaurs55c82.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.499645.8%44 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf61a…5943backed ROSSMANN Centaurs26c81.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9813418.7%25 W · 109 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34c5…db89backed ROSSMANN Centaurs50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011959.7%71 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs23c75.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.422,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x668d…e471backed ROSSMANN Centaurs41c67.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.62441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ROSSMANN Centaurs52c65.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.592,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c77…6747backed ROSSMANN Centaurs49c64.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.33122.6%7 W · 24 L-7.9wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-55.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed VfB eSports36c62.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8574250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dfa…a0e4backed VfB eSports48c60.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4923361.8%144 W · 89 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed VfB eSports57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.81,17547.4%557 W · 618 L+42.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed ROSSMANN Centaurs28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.857222.7%130 W · 442 L-48.9wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed VfB eSports43c57.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.981,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed ROSSMANN Centaurs54c55.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021451.4%110 W · 104 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed VfB eSports47c55.05$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1810356.3%58 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22cc…d068backed ROSSMANN Centaurs54c54.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.413043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b70…1efebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs54c54.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.417250%36 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed ROSSMANN Centaurs52c51.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.820544.4%91 W · 114 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed VfB eSports55c50.63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.561,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked VfB eSports60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2079345.4%360 W · 433 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed ROSSMANN Centaurs47c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3544129.5%130 W · 311 L-45.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-48%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs50c48.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.321,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed VfB eSports40c48.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9235844.4%159 W · 199 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed VfB eSports47c45.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.261,63846.7%765 W · 873 L-26.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015359.5%91 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed VfB eSports40c39.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7130146.2%139 W · 162 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed VfB eSports49c39.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1816154%87 W · 74 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26c7…264fbacked VfB eSports48c38.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1528040%112 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed VfB eSports57c37.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1210959.6%65 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked ROSSMANN Centaurs55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4614266.9%95 W · 47 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed ROSSMANN Centaurs53c34.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4648353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed VfB eSports40c31.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.823454.7%128 W · 106 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked VfB eSports62c31.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.91,31847.3%624 W · 694 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed ROSSMANN Centaurs52c30.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0673851.5%380 W · 358 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.