MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc4bea6fbc8a0bacfadb3dcaee7551f752ee2a804acc366d0366afa64050a2c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 47c | 99,984$46,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,991.46 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 53c | 98,223$52,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,058.03 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 50c | 24,561$12,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,275.59 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 17,391$8,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,096.58 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 50c | 14,880$7,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,440 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Under | 55c | 9,805$5,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,377.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 50c | 7,746$3,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,883.5 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 5,018$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.41 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 4,699$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.48 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Over | 50c | 4,082$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 3,500$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.75 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 47c | 3,333$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.46 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Under | 55c | 2,138$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.31 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Over | 50c | 2,020$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 37c | 1,936$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.4 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…c9dabacked Under | 72c | 1,649$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 44c | 1,585$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.81 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 50c | 1,542$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.03 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 1,029$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.28 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 45c | 1,011$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.84 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Under | 55c | 973$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.15 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Over | 50c | 813$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.5 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 799.79$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.64 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 46c | 798.25$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.05 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 53c | 699.7$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.84 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 58c | 586.63$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.39 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Under | 49c | 484.7$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 348.7$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.66 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Over | 37c | 344.33$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.36 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 60c | 327.21$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.84 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 316.62$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.51 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 49c | 315.06$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.68 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 34c | 263.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.86 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 57c | 227.18$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.31 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 48c | 222.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.01 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 53c | 220.03$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Over | 47c | 185.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.26 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 52c | 174.46$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.21 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 47c | 147.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…4cc1backed Over | 44c | 140.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Under | 51c | 138.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…796bbacked Under | 52c | 116.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 50c | 114.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 65c | 105.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…065dbacked Over | 27c | 99.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…3fd9backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 50c | 91.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a74…e35fbacked Under | 29c | 86.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 49c | 79.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Over | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 44c | 77.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 49c | 75.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 53c | 65.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 68c | 61.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 52c | 59.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 48c | 57.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 55.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 49c | 51.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Over | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 48c | 50.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Under | 64c | 49.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Under | 52c | 48.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 52c | 48.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 74c | 44.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc01d…2e79backed Over | 47c | 38.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…4132backed Over | 26c | 38.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…6831backed Over | 38c | 34.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…a226backed Over | 46c | 32.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 399 | 56.1%224 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 46c | 31.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…2ae8backed Over | 46c | 31.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 52c | 29.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…b909backed Under | 54c | 29.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 48c | 29.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 56c | 28.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over | 50c | 25.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Over | 49c | 24.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…61e8backed Over | 53c | 23.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…7876backed Over | 49c | 21.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5c…2775backed Under | 53c | 21.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +94%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cf…b8eabacked Under | 55c | 21.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 51c | 20.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 20.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…e61dbacked Under | 56c | 19.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins won
- NRFI: Chicago White Sox vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.