MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d69989634039409e9a4634c8709d6137303f63f74d4661b930c4dbd3d92d9f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Chicago White Sox, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 18,588$7,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,806.77 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 11,746$6,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,933.36 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Miami Marlins | 61c | 10,805$6,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,174.15 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 10,805$4,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,431.75 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 8,175$3,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.37 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 7,747$4,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.88 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 5,731$3,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.56 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…4a2cbacked Chicago White Sox | 52c | 5,502$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Chicago White Sox | 64c | 5,147$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,293.75 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 3,987$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.37 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 3,581$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.01 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.16 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Miami Marlins | 76c | 3,126$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.31 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 2,764$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.84 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 2,717$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.66 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 2,381$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.06 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Chicago White Sox | 40c | 2,370$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.98 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Chicago White Sox | 7c | 2,300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 2,120$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.02 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 1,659$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.01 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,550$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.43 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Miami Marlins | 65c | 1,161$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.53 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Miami Marlins | 62c | 1,116$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.26 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 1,047$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 978.43$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.89 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 929.42$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.09 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Chicago White Sox | 9c | 922.65$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 837.97$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.5 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 826.61$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.91 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 703.55$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.94 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 34c | 660.49$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago White Sox | 67c | 656.43$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.19 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 500.38$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.16 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Chicago White Sox | 69c | 494.41$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.06 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 477.65$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.49 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 469.98$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.69 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 445.41$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.53 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Miami Marlins | 61c | 414.36$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.97 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Chicago White Sox | 40c | 404.43$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.68 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago White Sox | 35c | 378.55$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.17 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Chicago White Sox | 9c | 378.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Chicago White Sox | 19c | 375.83$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Chicago White Sox | 34c | 373.13$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.69 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…a5dfbacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 349.36$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.24 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Chicago White Sox | 71c | 346.43$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.64 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 346.34$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 343.21$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.09 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 336.03$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.98 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 333.39$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.69 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 328.17$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago White Sox | 66c | 325.5$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.06 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 309.16$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.03 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 305.3$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.17 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 300$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.33 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 293.41$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Chicago White Sox | 15c | 284.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 284.11$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.74 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 273.27$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.03 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 271.78$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.27 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 266.03$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 254.63$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 244$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf21…2ed8backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 244$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 243.02$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 241.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.87 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 239$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 232.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 221.77$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 221.65$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 217.81$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 213.78$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.51 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 202.7$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 198.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 197.07$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.26 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 196.19$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.41 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 196.1$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 195.2$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 193.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 192.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.13 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 192.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.93 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 192.15$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 180.56$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Chicago White Sox | 17c | 168.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 167.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 167.83$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.46 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 166.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Chicago White Sox | 68c | 166.06$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 164.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 162.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…865dbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 157.06$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 153$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…9521backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 149.58$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 148.71$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…d93cbacked Chicago White Sox | 25c | 147.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 138.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.93 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- NRFI: Chicago White Sox vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.