UFC · resolved market
UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbca696f9d380dca3a0bba658598d07f15a71ae8509b57f8215be8c72e2a3de21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vicente Luqueof Kelvin Gastelum, Vicente Luque
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $519,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $592,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $519,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Vicente Luque | 29c | 113,802$33,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,799.27 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Kelvin Gastelum | 71c | 91,575$64,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,944.48 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Vicente Luque | 30c | 54,472$16,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,130.59 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 49,978$34,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,984.91 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…ad91backed Vicente Luque | 30c | 49,763$14,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,833.84 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 46,948$32,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,940.11 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Vicente Luque | 31c | 44,112$13,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,559.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Vicente Luque | 30c | 29,123$8,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,385.8 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 24,003$16,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,802.04 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…ae61backed Kelvin Gastelum | 69c | 20,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,800 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd849…6ac7backed Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 14,029$9,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,820 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Kelvin Gastelum | 71c | 13,866$9,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,814.92 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…59fbbacked Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 9,820$6,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,874 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Kelvin Gastelum | 69c | 9,781$6,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,748.81 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Vicente Luque | 31c | 8,591$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,927.7 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 8,313$5,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,793.69 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Vicente Luque | 32c | 7,510$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,111.96 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1b…724fbacked Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 7,078$4,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,954.78 | 49 | 81.6%40 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kelvin Gastelum | 69c | 7,007$4,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,834.59 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 6,678$4,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,674.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Vicente Luque | 29c | 6,088$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,343.12 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Vicente Luque | 30c | 5,748$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,023.78 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Kelvin Gastelum | 68c | 4,823$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,284.74 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Kelvin Gastelum | 71c | 4,422$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,139.41 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Kelvin Gastelum | 71c | 4,111$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910.15 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Vicente Luque | 31c | 4,063$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.63 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Vicente Luque | 30c | 4,017$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.58 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Kelvin Gastelum | 59c | 4,005$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.38 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 3,989$2,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,792.13 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Vicente Luque | 29c | 3,630$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.12 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Vicente Luque | 31c | 3,406$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.37 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Vicente Luque | 31c | 3,355$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.02 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…9ae0backed Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 3,227$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.6 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Vicente Luque | 31c | 3,115$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.43 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kelvin Gastelum | 69c | 3,043$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.67 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Vicente Luque | 29c | 2,976$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.9 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x015a…5077backed Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 2,671$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 2,504$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.87 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Kelvin Gastelum | 69c | 2,160$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.12 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 2,033$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.6 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Vicente Luque | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.01 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…1fcabacked Kelvin Gastelum | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Kelvin Gastelum | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.97 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed Kelvin Gastelum | 71c | 1,864$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.38 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c8…d45dbacked Kelvin Gastelum | 57c | 1,817$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.08 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Vicente Luque | 31c | 1,663$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.44 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Vicente Luque | 40c | 1,654$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.06 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Vicente Luque | 31c | 1,534$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.29 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Vicente Luque | 31c | 1,486$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.22 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 1,473$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…4bf1backed Vicente Luque | 31c | 1,467$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7762…309ebacked Kelvin Gastelum | 69c | 1,451$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…0f4abacked Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 1,414$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.86 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…1cedbacked Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 1,403$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Kelvin Gastelum | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Vicente Luque | 25c | 1,090$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.15 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 982$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.4 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Vicente Luque | 31c | 958.6$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.43 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Vicente Luque | 30c | 958$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Kelvin Gastelum | 1c | 950$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 883.8$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.66 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Vicente Luque | 37c | 826.56$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.21 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Kelvin Gastelum | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 794.78$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.29 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Vicente Luque | 42c | 750$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 701.43$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 697.22$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.05 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Kelvin Gastelum | 71c | 691.97$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.3 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa297…e9b4backed Kelvin Gastelum | 3c | 688.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Kelvin Gastelum | 69c | 600$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Vicente Luque | 42c | 571.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.87 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Vicente Luque | 44c | 570.32$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.91 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…2677backed Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 561.14$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.8 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked Vicente Luque | 31c | 519.3$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf334…bdefbacked Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 517.65$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.36 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x743c…e1fbbacked Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 516.92$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kelvin Gastelum | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…1d32backed Kelvin Gastelum | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 491$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.7 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 491$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.7 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a75…edd6backed Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 482.98$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Kelvin Gastelum | 71c | 465.66$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.03 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…25a1backed Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 462.94$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Kelvin Gastelum | 71c | 445.29$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.75 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Vicente Luque | 43c | 443.55$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.66 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Vicente Luque | 29c | 439.84$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.29 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e58…5cf7backed Vicente Luque | 31c | 432.92$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Kelvin Gastelum | 74c | 429.93$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.02 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Kelvin Gastelum | 6c | 426$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…68d7backed Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 419.55$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.64 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…104dbacked Kelvin Gastelum | 71c | 413.9$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.87 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Vicente Luque | 23c | 410.03$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.43 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Kelvin Gastelum | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Vicente Luque | 31c | 366.04$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.91 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Vicente Luque | 30c | 350.6$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.22 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Vicente Luque | 31c | 335.51$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.5 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…cb10backed Kelvin Gastelum | 69c | 325$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.25 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Kelvin Gastelum | 10c | 319.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Vicente Luque | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.37 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…60f0backed Kelvin Gastelum | 57c | 300$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.