South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Independiente del Valle (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56e43fdcbe366bc6056f935456230cd7d28bc26115e6f60e99e2eff3afba49c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FCof Independiente del Valle, Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Independiente del Valle | 31c | 33,278$10,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,277.59 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 7,006$4,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.07 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 4,332$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.06 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 2,006$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 2,001$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.4 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 1,750$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.5 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 1,244$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 791.92$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.67 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 450$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 274.79$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 273.88$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 206.09$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 70c | 192$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 68c | 168.29$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 143.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Independiente del Valle | 33c | 125.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 71.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 61.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 48.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 42.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51a4…02d6backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 37.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 34.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 32.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 36c | 28.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…7e1dbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 28.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fda…0983backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2b…e55dbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 27.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 69c | 19.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Independiente del Valle (-2.5)this page
- Independiente del Valle vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Independiente del Valle vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Independiente del Valle vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Independiente del Valle vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Independiente del Valle vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Independiente del Valle (-1.5)Independiente del Valle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.