Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26d6f04a333da670e4282efadfcdfc0c6339de1eaca785d1e00c9b7065ef63e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Team Heretics, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $312,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $348,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 19,688$9,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,360.71 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 13,111$8,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,851.06 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Heretics | 38c | 12,863$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845.36 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 9,956$6,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,890.39 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…2e78backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 9,261$5,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,234.85 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Team Heretics | 1c | 8,888$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 284 | 4.6%13 W · 271 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Team Heretics | 37c | 8,543$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161.02 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Heretics | 37c | 8,137$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.79 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 7,753$4,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.6 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Team Heretics | 48c | 7,698$3,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,705.26 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Heretics | 39c | 7,684$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.69 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Team Heretics | 36c | 7,167$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601.68 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 7,022$4,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.97 | 259 | 52.9%137 W · 122 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 6,600$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,930.17 | 226 | 24.8%56 W · 170 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 6,373$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,961.78 | 811 | 43.5%353 W · 458 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Heretics | 38c | 6,142$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.99 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Heretics | 45c | 5,854$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.79 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 5,536$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.12 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Heretics | 37c | 5,478$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.81 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56e…2d64backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 5,295$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.5 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Team Heretics | 44c | 5,230$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.22 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Heretics | 37c | 4,209$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.16 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Heretics | 52c | 3,905$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.6 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Heretics | 38c | 3,797$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.93 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Heretics | 47c | 3,625$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.02 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 3,297$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.81 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 3,129$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.21 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 2,991$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.49 | 311 | 53.4%166 W · 145 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…895dbacked Team Heretics | 43c | 2,804$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.42 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Team Heretics | 8c | 2,780$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.4 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 2,378$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.28 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Heretics | 54c | 2,213$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.72 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 2,137$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.17 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 2,071$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.91 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,036$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.79 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Team Heretics | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Team Heretics | 38c | 1,979$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.78 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,977$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.78 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 1,969$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.11 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Team Heretics | 52c | 1,942$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.05 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…4ca4backed Team Heretics | 57c | 1,697$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.44 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,690$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.21 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Team Heretics | 63c | 1,659$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.99 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Team Heretics | 37c | 1,624$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.95 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,609$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.52 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5511…5734backed Team Heretics | 33c | 1,524$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.28 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…6d62backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,470$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.68 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x248d…2885backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,427$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.17 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Heretics | 39c | 1,258$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.66 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Heretics | 4c | 1,218$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Heretics | 52c | 1,205$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.38 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Heretics | 37c | 1,195$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.98 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…e1debacked Team Heretics | 55c | 1,129$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.76 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Team Heretics | 73c | 1,072$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.93 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,042$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.16 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 941 | 44.6%420 W · 521 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 999.99$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.99 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Heretics | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 547 | 56.9%311 W · 236 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Heretics | 39c | 971.99$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.08 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed Team Heretics | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 406 | 51.7%210 W · 196 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Team Heretics | 42c | 964.68$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.41 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…02f3backed Team Heretics | 41c | 950.48$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.7 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…39e1backed Team Heretics | 61c | 913.03$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.67 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Heretics | 62c | 896.29$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.46 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40af…abb2backed Team Heretics | 45c | 891.83$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.48 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 869.46$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.88 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x395f…dcacbacked Team Heretics | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Team Heretics | 72c | 770.31$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.62 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x826c…cd27backed Team Heretics | 51c | 760.42$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.48 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Team Heretics | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Heretics | 52c | 724$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.46 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…612cbacked Team Heretics | 41c | 705.8$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.38 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Heretics | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 502 | 42.2%212 W · 290 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 677.44$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.2 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cd…9f3ebacked Team Heretics | 60c | 645.98$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.51 | 152 | 57.9%88 W · 64 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Heretics | 51c | 643.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.14 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Team Heretics | 38c | 634.6$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.7 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45a8…c4f2backed Team Heretics | 62c | 628.88$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Team Heretics | 48c | 625.96$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.3 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Heretics | 40c | 625.71$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.28 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Heretics | 12c | 589.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…4129backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 580.88$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.89 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Heretics | 39c | 578.04$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.44 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…7514backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 562.6$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.3 | 355 | 33.5%119 W · 236 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Team Heretics | 27c | 555.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 554.48$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.36 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…ea40backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 547.08$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +199.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 538.3$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.94 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Team Heretics | 52c | 531.79$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.23 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Team Heretics | 61c | 512.72$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.76 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 512.13$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.37 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Team Heretics | 40c | 509.79$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.92 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 508.66$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.86 | 243 | 26.7%65 W · 178 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 506.67$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.24 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Team Heretics | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f9…6910backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 499.98$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Team Heretics | 39c | 494.05$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.68 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…8689backed Team Heretics | 60c | 490.6$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.74 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.