Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2d616af8e8420da23aa67d4db4ed1e17ce15955b6b5a907bf791b49428589a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Team Heretics, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $372,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $481,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Team Heretics | 4c | 27,607$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.16 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Heretics | 40c | 19,203$7,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,589.07 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Team Heretics | 36c | 14,500$5,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,214.63 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 14,052$9,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,852.63 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 13,719$8,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,455.45 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Team Heretics | 38c | 12,529$4,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,760.9 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Heretics | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Team Heretics | 3c | 9,418$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.54 | 811 | 43.5%353 W · 458 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Heretics | 38c | 9,373$3,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,577.64 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 9,115$6,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.73 | 595 | 58.3%347 W · 248 L | -29.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 8,985$5,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,414.33 | 641 | 55.7%357 W · 284 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Heretics | 41c | 7,694$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.58 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed Team Heretics | 2c | 7,188$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.53 | 406 | 51.7%210 W · 196 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Team Heretics | 37c | 6,435$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.97 | 313 | 28.8%90 W · 223 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 6,101$4,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.17 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 5,368$3,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.8 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…ff40backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 5,266$3,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Heretics | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.99 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 4,947$3,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.09 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 4,359$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.31 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 4,241$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.13 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 4,069$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.2 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 3,687$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.89 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 3,669$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.14 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Heretics | 36c | 3,549$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.7 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 3,135$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.07 | 311 | 53.4%166 W · 145 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Team Heretics | 7c | 3,080$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 226 | 24.8%56 W · 170 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5511…5734backed Team Heretics | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Team Heretics | 41c | 2,967$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.23 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Heretics | 25c | 2,763$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.4 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 2,708$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.86 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Heretics | 40c | 2,644$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.61 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Team Heretics | 38c | 2,512$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.58 | 264 | 48.5%128 W · 136 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Heretics | 40c | 2,482$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.66 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Heretics | 40c | 2,410$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Heretics | 41c | 2,164$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.36 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…39e1backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 2,115$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.11 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Heretics | 40c | 2,003$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.2 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Team Heretics | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…436dbacked Team Heretics | 4c | 1,993$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Heretics | 40c | 1,987$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.68 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Heretics | 38c | 1,947$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.72 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2657…c179backed Team Heretics | 1c | 1,933$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,829$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.75 | 203 | 48.8%99 W · 104 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Heretics | 4c | 1,742$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Heretics | 5c | 1,696$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 372 | 45.2%168 W · 204 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,581$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.31 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,552$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.26 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,404$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.6 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 1,386$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.85 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…02f3backed Team Heretics | 37c | 1,287$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.71 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,254$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.6 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Team Heretics | 27c | 1,135$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.97 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,078$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.19 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…25b5backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,076$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.45 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Team Heretics | 28c | 1,044$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.68 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8397…231fbacked Team Heretics | 1c | 1,035$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,022$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.16 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 999.89$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.96 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 975.85$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.78 | 328 | 44.2%145 W · 183 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 954.36$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.48 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 931.2$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.13 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…563ebacked Team Heretics | 4c | 873.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Team Heretics | 41c | 824.79$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.51 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Heretics | 39c | 820.82$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.65 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…7514backed Team Heretics | 17c | 796.95$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 355 | 33.5%119 W · 236 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…b3d8backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 776.03$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.13 | 243 | 59.3%144 W · 99 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed Team Heretics | 38c | 760.11$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.84 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 755.05$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.34 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 732.34$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.38 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Heretics | 10c | 649.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Team Heretics | 23c | 646.01$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 1,131 | 43.1%487 W · 644 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c4…19fbbacked Team Heretics | 8c | 593.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Team Heretics | 7c | 566.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 543.21$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.42 | 510 | 44.9%229 W · 281 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 542.01$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.39 | 603 | 47.9%289 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 539.51$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.41 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Team Heretics | 36c | 534.22$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.32 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd391…b109backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 489.11$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.19 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -17.8wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Team Heretics | 11c | 476.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 295 | 36.9%109 W · 186 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd459…4757backed Team Heretics | 39c | 472.07$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.11 | 577 | 54.9%317 W · 260 L | +24.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Team Heretics | 16c | 469.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 388 | 35.3%137 W · 251 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 468.33$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.38 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Team Heretics | 41c | 464.83$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.01 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Team Heretics | 37c | 449.97$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.49 | 386 | 59.8%231 W · 155 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3870…4fc3backed Team Heretics | 11c | 430.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 398.38$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 308 | 56.5%174 W · 134 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Team Heretics | 8c | 397.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 391.12$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.71 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 370$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Team Heretics | 5c | 355.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 304 | 21.4%65 W · 239 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 350$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Team Heretics | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Heretics | 37c | 348.07$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.78 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team Heretics | 12c | 345.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…2974backed Team Heretics | 16c | 338.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 330$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 323.89$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 319.73$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.