TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,796

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,595 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over43c5,795$2,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,491.7641842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Under57c5,146$2,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.7516442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over44c4,591$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.813237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65ea…476cbacked Under59c3,306$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.642979.3%23 W · 6 L+5.1wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+27.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c2,796$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.082,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over42c2,228$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.3151550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over41c1,324$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.021,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over41c1,100$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45126154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under50c922.74$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.973228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Over49c901$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.499545.3%43 W · 52 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9c7…aadebacked Under58c838.78$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.293847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over41c835.81$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.682,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2d…8622backed Under59c826.72$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.022867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under53c814.82$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.689562.1%59 W · 36 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Over46c707.46$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.223250%16 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Under58c672.28$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.365255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Over41c480.93$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.188952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98cb…aa35backed Over42c470.68$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.752045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea9…0924backed Over43c445.31$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.21425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under57c396.42$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.4676950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under55c368.84$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.6638551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under56c361.8$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.622,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Under56c347.83$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.112857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over41c329$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8938147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over42c311.6$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8766552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fd3…bd04backed Under57c292.32$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.722751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdff8…3c8bbacked Under56c260.51$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.621361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed Under58c253.45$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.455666.1%37 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under55c246.33$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.873,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over43c245.16$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.091,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under57c240$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.233554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5e8…b78dbacked Under57c222$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under58c218.76$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3615560%93 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under49c197.1$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.156659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fb5…b009backed Under58c194.96$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.882755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Under57c179.68$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.711551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Under58c155.97$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.517364.4%47 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over42c145.37$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6350251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Over58c134.46$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.988850%44 W · 44 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under57c133.7$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4947753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b5d…adc4backed Over43c111.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.021233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over25c109.28$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1989355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cb7…d613backed Over43c107.2$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb952…3561backed Over43c104.02$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe32a…efabbacked Under57c101.35$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.482450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under55c100.55$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9221355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over41c100.29$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.127448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb52a…31a2backed Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Under62c97.71$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6411950.4%60 W · 59 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf342…a5e9backed Under58c97.48$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.944738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccfa…6ee7backed Over42c96.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.542441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under54c95.94$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2249851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under55c92.71$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.729856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Over44c85.2$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.494557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf312…184dbacked Over43c84.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd2a…8dbdbacked Under58c84.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.292147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Under58c84.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.295455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe166…4f71backed Under58c84.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.294346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc46…a54bbacked Under59c74.67$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.811650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Under57c70$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.111946.2%55 W · 64 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Over44c68.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.975352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over37c67.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9912357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under52c65.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1614855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under53c58.43$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4629533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Over43c56.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1511054.5%60 W · 50 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under45c55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.247047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf596…4b79backed Under56c51.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.672326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-51.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8702…6304backed Under57c51.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.05450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under58c50.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1821253.3%113 W · 99 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Under58c50.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1810256.9%58 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee8a…69acbacked Under58c50.39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.153961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Under57c49.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.493554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Under58c48.74$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.472544%11 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-26.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x510e…b8e0backed Over50c44.61$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.111346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Under65c44.57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.410260.8%62 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under58c40.47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1771952.4%377 W · 342 L-2.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0a…50adbacked Under52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Over34c39.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.331520%3 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-39.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe951…e71ebacked Under58c38.92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over43c38.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.718452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over34c38.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.067838.5%30 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under68c37.72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.28562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa671…f693backed Under57c37.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.171566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Over52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.423043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2c…824fbacked Under55c35.14$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under58c33.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.126456.3%36 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under58c33.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.126251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4f…5ab1backed Under58c33.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.122060%12 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf30…8b95backed Under55c32.38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.574443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed Over58c31.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.43714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-81.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64b1…f556backed Under60c30.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed85…c85abacked Under58c29.23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.283759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac61…2a16backed Over43c27.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under57c27.49$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9312355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under71c26.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7941050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over45c26.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0317456.3%98 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Over45c26.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.036056.7%34 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6733…acb9backed Over44c26.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.591844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3d…9351backed Under58c25.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.591747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over49c24.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8833251.5%171 W · 161 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.