TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Madrid Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Carlota Martinez Cirez

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zeynep Sonmezof Zeynep Sonmez, Carlota Martinez Cirez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,514
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,624

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,514 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Carlota Martinez Cirez2c14,918$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.7434136.4%124 W · 217 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Carlota Martinez Cirez2c10,331$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.051,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Carlota Martinez Cirez2c6,813$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.011,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Carlota Martinez Cirez2c4,426$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.511,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Carlota Martinez Cirez14c4,006$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.9327846%128 W · 150 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Carlota Martinez Cirez5c3,977$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.748,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Carlota Martinez Cirez3c2,976$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.294,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b1…f556backed Carlota Martinez Cirez1c1,938$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.263426.5%9 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-44.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez10c1,651$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.656,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez13c1,353$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.5138013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Carlota Martinez Cirez13c1,155$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Carlota Martinez Cirez9c969.06$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9944229.6%131 W · 311 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed Carlota Martinez Cirez7c946.49$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.251637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ca…8850backed Carlota Martinez Cirez8c946.42$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.146732.8%22 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Carlota Martinez Cirez6c944.73$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6878536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…0c6cbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez15c928.12$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.22333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+75.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez9c856.02$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.257,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe195…c0cbbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez5c822.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez3c784.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.544146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez13c770$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.124340.3%98 W · 145 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb20…bea0backed Carlota Martinez Cirez6c733.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2114132.6%46 W · 95 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez3c659.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7865647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x503a…1e89backed Carlota Martinez Cirez3c627.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.845633.9%19 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Carlota Martinez Cirez17c558.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0241251%210 W · 202 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Carlota Martinez Cirez36c555.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9997141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Carlota Martinez Cirez36c532.31$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3415854.4%86 W · 72 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Carlota Martinez Cirez10c500.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0111040.9%45 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez11c499.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Carlota Martinez Cirez24c477.2$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5342839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Zeynep Sonmez64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.752,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Carlota Martinez Cirez7c437.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6948214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa8…d75fbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez38c433.26$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.643928.2%11 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez5c377.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8683823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez6c343.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5858232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cab…956fbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez12c340.17$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff77…1be5backed Carlota Martinez Cirez10c308.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.278741.4%36 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Carlota Martinez Cirez35c295.65$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4860943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf182…112bbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez33c290.85$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9830150.2%151 W · 150 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13a9…e573backed Carlota Martinez Cirez8c290.45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2412025.8%31 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f86…ef4ebacked Carlota Martinez Cirez17c268.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.169240.2%37 W · 55 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe516…14ffbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez13c261.72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.173542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f1…bc81backed Carlota Martinez Cirez7c236.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8270%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92d0…321cbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez13c207.97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2770%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Zeynep Sonmez61c193.81$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.591,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Carlota Martinez Cirez6c168.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6752739.3%207 W · 320 L+37.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez6c168.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0932031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Zeynep Sonmez71c161.02$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.799,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc41…ac6dbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez7c157.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7250%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez15c147.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8455243.3%239 W · 313 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34f8…bf06backed Carlota Martinez Cirez33c143.39$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.925036%18 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Carlota Martinez Cirez9c140.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0656827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Carlota Martinez Cirez21c117.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0640548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dbb…c0fdbacked Zeynep Sonmez69c107.42$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.39856.1%55 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked Zeynep Sonmez65c99.9$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9722550.2%113 W · 112 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez26c99.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7746040%184 W · 276 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3746…a99fbacked Zeynep Sonmez73c95.29$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.47041.4%29 W · 41 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Carlota Martinez Cirez13c94.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3237233.9%126 W · 246 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Carlota Martinez Cirez27c84.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.524,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5556…3aa6backed Carlota Martinez Cirez14c81.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.843366.7%22 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Carlota Martinez Cirez36c76.95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.041,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Carlota Martinez Cirez35c68.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0332937.1%122 W · 207 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Zeynep Sonmez75c66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94c1…e5adbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez16c65.95$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.464173.2%30 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef0…db6fbacked Zeynep Sonmez71c58.42$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1610060%60 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez21c55.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6650644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Zeynep Sonmez74c54.41$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9991880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez26c54.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9256817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Carlota Martinez Cirez21c47.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1090340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xabb7…9241backed Zeynep Sonmez77c45.54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.475554.5%30 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Zeynep Sonmez76c42.37$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.311,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Zeynep Sonmez80c37.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.414,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb70c…ed0ebacked Carlota Martinez Cirez29c36.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Carlota Martinez Cirez31c32.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Zeynep Sonmez69c31.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6257267.3%385 W · 187 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Zeynep Sonmez72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.619474.7%145 W · 49 L+34.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.9%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x28af…7de0backed Zeynep Sonmez71c17.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.064072.5%29 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Zeynep Sonmez75c15.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8360355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.