South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Aldosivi vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49b968bf489b499671d5804f7474d5ba525f2a88bd5110e6759f627f48e85ec5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64b1…f556backed Over | 8c | 1,060$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 23c | 712.68$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.13 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 80c | 561.68$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.65 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 67c | 539.31$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.48 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 19c | 500.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Over | 36c | 327.01$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 25c | 326.79$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 7c | 203.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 75c | 127.25$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 28c | 103.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 16c | 102$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 27c | 68.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 17c | 60.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 70c | 43.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 70c | 43.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 31c | 41.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 64c | 19.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 74c | 18.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Under | 67c | 17.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…3dd3backed Under | 67c | 16.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Aldosivi vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Aldosivi vs. Racing Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Aldosivi vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Aldosivi vs. Racing Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Aldosivi vs. Racing Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Aldosivi (-1.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)CA Aldosivi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.