Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeec7cbe830c0f10f30cc7d96aae1877a094f5b5eac51170a7189270e4dd2a001
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 3,440$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.6 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 2,832$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.84 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 50c | 1,794$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.95 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 1,263$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.43 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9c…4695backed Yes | 57c | 993.68$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 59c | 839.24$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.25 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…1495backed Yes | 61c | 800.81$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 50c | 768.24$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.12 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d0…97debacked Yes | 68c | 719.75$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Yes | 59c | 661.38$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 41c | 614.6$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 40c | 577.5$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.55 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…a923backed Yes | 56c | 519.96$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 50c | 493.58$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.53 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…6510backed Yes | 48c | 404.17$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 42c | 338.2$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.42 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6167…a6cabacked Yes | 63c | 333.37$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 39c | 311.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 44c | 276.37$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…9c64backed Yes | 68c | 241.9$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 50c | 235.66$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.43 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…70d1backed Yes | 56c | 231.93$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 37c | 218.88$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 57c | 161.55$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 72c | 130.47$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 44c | 129.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 42c | 128.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 40c | 121.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b1…f556backed No | 11c | 99.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf064…54a4backed Yes | 59c | 97.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 67c | 94.15$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 50c | 88.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Yes | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…ab1fbacked Yes | 65c | 76.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 38c | 59.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 58c | 57.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed No | 41c | 56.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 41c | 55.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Yes | 65c | 55.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 72c | 54.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Yes | 67c | 46.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 55c | 44.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 58c | 43.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ea…d849backed Yes | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…323abacked Yes | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 57c | 30.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…33efbacked Yes | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 37c | 28.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 57c | 28.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…5e33backed Yes | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 43c | 27.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…e797backed Yes | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 44c | 26.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 64c | 24.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 43c | 23.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Yes | 66c | 20.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c04…c81abacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 58c | 18.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Yes | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 66c | 17.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…af14backed Yes | 59c | 17.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.